Zira FK — Paide Linnameeskond: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 94.9% |
| 12 | 87.5% | |
| X2 | 17.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 28.7% / 71.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 75.7% / 24.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.0% / 70.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Zira FK enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side according to the available assessment. The hosts are expected to control more of the match, with their advantage likely to be reflected in possession, territory and the number of meaningful attacking situations they create. Paide Linnameeskond face a demanding task and may need to remain compact, limit space around their penalty area and rely on disciplined defensive work.
The scoring outlook is medium, but the clearest signal points towards Zira FK keeping a clean sheet. That suggests Paide Linnameeskond could find it difficult to turn their opportunities into goals, particularly if Zira FK establish control early. The most plausible score patterns are narrow or moderately comfortable home victories, with results such as 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 fitting the overall assessment. Zira FK should therefore be considered the stronger team, while Paide Linnameeskond will need an especially well-organised performance to keep the tie balanced.
What matters before kick-off
First Leg Result
Paide Linnameeskond won the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie 1-0 against Zira FK on July 23, 2026.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.