FC Inter Turku — Istanbul Basaksehir: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 45.9% |
| 12 | 74.7% | |
| X2 | 79.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.2% / 22.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.1% / 69.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.7% / 85.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Inter Turku host Istanbul Basaksehir in the UEFA Conference League qualification round, with the available assessment giving the visitors a slight edge. That advantage is limited rather than decisive, as the confidence level is low and the match profile points towards a competitive contest.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with both teams scoring considered an even possibility. The main projected outcomes range from a 1-1 draw to narrow Istanbul Basaksehir victories, including 0-1 and 0-2. FC Inter Turku should therefore remain in contention, while Istanbul Basaksehir appear marginally better placed to control the tie if they perform close to their expected level.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg draw
The first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie between Istanbul Basaksehir and Inter Turku ended in a 1-1 draw in Istanbul.
Operi returns from suspension
Istanbul Basaksehir defender Christopher Operi has finished serving his suspension and is available for selection against Inter Turku.
Basaksehir's 70th European match
The second leg against Inter Turku marks Istanbul Basaksehir's 70th match in European club competitions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.