FC Pyunik Yerevan — Debreceni VSC: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.6% |
| 12 | 73.5% | |
| X2 | 55.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 72.7% / 27.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.2% / 52.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.6% / 74.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.7% / 88.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.6% / 95.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Pyunik Yerevan face Debreceni VSC in the UEFA Conference League qualifying round, with the home side holding a slight edge in the overall assessment. The confidence behind that view is moderate, so the matchup should be approached as competitive rather than one-sided. Pyunik’s home advantage gives them a marginally stronger position, but Debreceni have a credible route to staying in the contest.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with the available scorelines pointing toward a close encounter. A draw is a realistic possibility, while narrow outcomes such as a Pyunik win by one goal also fit the assessment. The expectation that both teams will score is balanced, making that aspect difficult to separate between the sides. Overall, the analysis leans toward FC Pyunik Yerevan avoiding defeat, while Debreceni VSC remain capable of making the match tight and influencing the result.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round, Debreceni VSC secured a 1-0 victory at home against FC Pyunik Yerevan.
Debreceni VSC domestic result
Prior to traveling to Yerevan for the second leg, Debreceni VSC suffered a 0-2 home defeat against Puskas Akademia in their Hungarian league opener.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.