Yellow-Red KV Mechelen — Standard Liege: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.2% |
| 12 | 71.5% | |
| X2 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.9% / 46.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.5% / 8.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.2% / 25.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.3% / 73.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
15th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Gent 0:2
- 24.05.2026 away St Truiden 0:3
- 21.05.2026 home Club Brugge 2:2
- 17.05.2026 away Anderlecht 2:2
- 10.05.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:3
Standard Liege
11th place · 1 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 2:2
- 23.05.2026 home Charleroi 0:2
- 19.05.2026 away Westerlo 2:1
- 16.05.2026 home Genk 0:0
- 08.05.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 28.11.2025 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 0:1 Standard Liege
- 12.09.2025 Standard Liege 1:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 10.05.2025 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 0:0 Standard Liege
- 29.03.2025 Standard Liege 2:2 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 26.12.2024 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 0:0 Standard Liege
- 09.08.2024 Standard Liege 0:0 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen and Standard Liege appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with a moderate level of confidence in that reading. The 1X signal points towards protecting the home side from defeat, but it does not establish a decisive gap between the teams.
The match is expected to have a medium-scoring profile, although the available scoring assessment does not strongly favour one specific pattern. Both teams scoring is considered finely balanced, so the game could develop through cautious phases rather than constant attacking pressure. A draw, such as 1:1 or 0:0, fits the overall evaluation, while a narrow Standard Liege win also remains within the range of plausible outcomes. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen’s home advantage may help keep the contest close, but the evidence points to a competitive match rather than a clear favourite.
What matters before kick-off
Teams' previous match results
KV Mechelen entered the match following a 2-0 away defeat against Gent, while Standard Liège came off a 2-2 home draw against Cercle Brugge.
Match venue
The Belgian Pro League match between KV Mechelen and Standard Liège was scheduled at KV Mechelen's home stadium, Achter de Kazerne.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.