Match intelligence

SK Beveren — RSC Anderlecht: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
SK Beveren1
:
0RSC Anderlecht
Locked signal X2 Probability 69.2% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 30.8% Home win SK Beveren
X 26.2% Draw
W2 43.0% Away win RSC Anderlecht
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1273.8%
Both teams to score
Yes58.1%
Totals 2.5
Over54.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X57.0%
1273.8%
X269.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No58.1% / 41.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.5% / 6.5%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 78.6% / 21.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 54.4% / 45.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 32.1% / 67.9%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 16.1% / 83.9%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 7.0% / 93.0%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SK Beveren × RSC Anderlecht
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.5%
0:1 8.3%
0:2 7.0%
0:3 3.7%
0:4 1.4%
0:5 0.4%
1
1:0 6.7%
1:1 12.3%
1:2 9.1%
1:3 4.7%
1:4 1.9%
1:5 0.6%
2
2:0 4.8%
2:1 7.5%
2:2 5.9%
2:3 3.1%
2:4 1.2%
2:5 0.4%
3
3:0 2.1%
3:1 3.2%
3:2 2.5%
3:3 1.3%
3:4 0.5%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 0.7%
4:1 1.0%
4:2 0.8%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.3%
1:29.1%
0:18.3%
2:17.5%
0:27.0%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SK Beveren face RSC Anderlecht in a First Division A meeting where the visitors hold a slight edge, although the moderate confidence level points to a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. RSC Anderlecht appear marginally better placed in the outcome assessment, but SK Beveren have a realistic opportunity to remain involved if they can make the most of their chances.

The match is expected to produce a medium level of scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That suggests an open game in which neither side should be entirely comfortable defensively. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 1:2 and 0:1, reflecting a narrow advantage for RSC Anderlecht and a meaningful possibility of a draw. Overall, the assessment supports protection against a home defeat, with the balance leaning toward RSC Anderlecht while SK Beveren remain capable of making the result close.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Anderlecht's European qualification result

On 13 August 2026, RSC Anderlecht defeated PAOK 3-2 in the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round to advance to the play-off stage.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

Check current terms · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds ↗

Other matches

→ First Division A

OFFICIAL ODDMIND.APP TELEGRAM CHANNEL New predictions — automatically in Telegram Get new signals and full-analysis links as soon as they are published. Join the channel

How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

ONE PERSON. AN INDEPENDENT PROJECT.

One person behind the project. Your support makes a difference.

The project currently runs at a loss. A voluntary contribution helps with hosting, data and AI services.

Support the project
18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling

Finding oddmind.app useful?

One person keeps this project running, and it currently brings more expenses than income. If you would like to help, a small voluntary contribution makes a difference.

Support the project
Completely optional. You can keep using the site without donating.