KRC Genk — KVC Westerlo: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.5% |
| 12 | 82.2% | |
| X2 | 31.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.0% / 37.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.9% / 3.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 89.3% / 10.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 72.0% / 28.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 31.9% / 68.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 17.4% / 82.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
KRC Genk
14th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Waregem 1:2
- 23.05.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:0
- 19.05.2026 home Antwerp 0:0
- 16.05.2026 away Standard 0:0
- 10.05.2026 home Westerlo 3:0
KVC Westerlo
18th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.08.2026 home St. Gilloise 1:5
- 23.05.2026 away Antwerp 0:2
- 19.05.2026 home Standard 1:2
- 16.05.2026 away Charleroi 1:0
- 10.05.2026 away Genk 0:3
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.05.2026 KRC Genk 3:0 KVC Westerlo
- 18.04.2026 KVC Westerlo 1:2 KRC Genk
- 14.12.2025 KRC Genk 1:1 KVC Westerlo
- 02.11.2025 KVC Westerlo 0:1 KRC Genk
- 25.01.2025 KVC Westerlo 1:2 KRC Genk
- 30.08.2024 KRC Genk 1:0 KVC Westerlo
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KRC Genk come into this First Division A meeting with a clear overall advantage over KVC Westerlo, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the contest should not be treated as one-sided. The hosts are rated as clearly stronger, giving them the more convincing platform in the match, particularly if they can impose their approach early and maintain control of the key phases.
The broader expectation is for an open, high-scoring game rather than a tightly contained encounter. KVC Westerlo are also likely to contribute on the scoresheet, which could make the match more competitive even if KRC Genk remain the stronger side. That combination points to a game in which the hosts have the better chance of shaping the outcome, while defensive lapses or transitions could keep KVC Westerlo involved until late in the match.
What matters before kick-off
Genk's first home fixture of the season
The match against KVC Westerlo on August 15, 2026, at the Cegeka Arena marks KRC Genk's first home game of the new Belgian Pro League campaign.
Difficult start to the campaign for both sides
In the opening week of the league season, KVC Westerlo suffered a 5-1 home loss against Union Saint-Gilloise, while KRC Genk were defeated 2-1 away by SV Zulte Waregem.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.