Match intelligence

KV Kortrijk — Royal Antwerp FC: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
KV Kortrijk0
:
3Royal Antwerp FC
Locked signal 1X Probability 65.5% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 36.7% Home win KV Kortrijk
X 28.8% Draw
W2 34.5% Away win Royal Antwerp FC
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1271.2%
Both teams to score
Yes53.5%
Totals 2.5
Under52.5%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X65.5%
1271.2%
X263.3%
Both teams to scoreYes/No53.5% / 46.5%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 91.3% / 8.7%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 73.9% / 26.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 47.5% / 52.5%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 25.8% / 74.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 11.9% / 88.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 4.7% / 95.3%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

KV Kortrijk × Royal Antwerp FC
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 8.7%
0:1 8.5%
0:2 6.1%
0:3 2.6%
0:4 0.8%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 8.9%
1:1 13.7%
1:2 8.0%
1:3 3.4%
1:4 1.1%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 6.5%
2:1 8.3%
2:2 5.2%
2:3 2.2%
2:4 0.7%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 2.9%
3:1 3.6%
3:2 2.3%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 0.9%
4:1 1.2%
4:2 0.7%
4:3 0.3%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.3%
5:2 0.2%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.7%
1:08.9%
0:08.7%
0:18.5%
2:18.3%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026

KV Kortrijk

17th place · 0 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 07.08.2026 away Club Brugge 0:3
  • 10.05.2025 home St Truiden 2:2
  • 03.05.2025 away Cercle Brugge 2:0
  • 25.04.2025 away Beerschot VA 0:2
  • 12.04.2025 home Beerschot VA 3:2

Royal Antwerp FC

6th place · 3 pts after 1

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 09.08.2026 home Beveren 2:1
  • 23.05.2026 home Westerlo 2:0
  • 19.05.2026 away Genk 0:0
  • 15.05.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:3
  • 10.05.2026 home Charleroi 0:1

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

KV Kortrijk wins1
Draws0
Royal Antwerp FC wins5
Goals per match2.83
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
  • 15.02.2025 Royal Antwerp FC 2:1 KV Kortrijk
  • 09.11.2024 KV Kortrijk 1:2 Royal Antwerp FC
  • 09.03.2024 KV Kortrijk 0:1 Royal Antwerp FC
  • 11.08.2023 Royal Antwerp FC 6:0 KV Kortrijk
  • 16.04.2023 Royal Antwerp FC 1:0 KV Kortrijk
  • 02.10.2022 KV Kortrijk 2:1 Royal Antwerp FC

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

KV Kortrijk and Royal Antwerp FC look evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a decisive overall advantage. The 1X signal gives KV Kortrijk some protection through home advantage, but the balance of the contest still leaves room for Royal Antwerp FC to take control during periods of the match.

The expected profile is medium-scoring, although the possibility of both teams finding the net remains uncertain. That suggests a game where the opening goal could have a significant influence on the tempo and strategy, without necessarily leading to an open contest throughout. The most plausible scorelines are 1:1, 1:0 and 0:0, reflecting a close encounter with limited separation between the teams. A draw is a credible outcome, while a narrow result for either side would also fit the overall assessment.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Match fixture and venue

KV Kortrijk face Royal Antwerp FC on August 15, 2026, at the Guldensporenstadion in the Belgian First Division A.

Match fact

Pro League season format

The 2026–27 Belgian Pro League season features an expanded 18-team regular season format without the traditional playoff system.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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