Oud-Heverlee Leuven — Club Brugge: Win probabilities, 15.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 34.7% |
| 12 | 79.6% | |
| X2 | 85.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.3% / 38.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.7% / 4.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.4% / 12.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.6% / 32.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.1% / 72.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.0% / 86.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 15.08.2026
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
15th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Charleroi 1:3
- 23.05.2026 home Genk 0:2
- 19.05.2026 away Charleroi 1:1
- 15.05.2026 home Antwerp 3:0
- 08.05.2026 away Standard 1:2
Club Brugge
2nd place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 07.08.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
- 24.05.2026 home Gent 5:0
- 21.05.2026 away Mechelen 2:2
- 17.05.2026 home St. Gilloise 5:0
- 09.05.2026 home St Truiden 2:0
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 21.02.2026 Club Brugge 2:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 18.10.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 Club Brugge
- 08.02.2025 Club Brugge 1:0 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 02.11.2024 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 Club Brugge
- 10.03.2024 Club Brugge 3:1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven
- 26.11.2023 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0:1 Club Brugge
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Oud-Heverlee Leuven face Club Brugge in a First Division A meeting where the visitors hold the clearer overall edge. The confidence is moderate rather than decisive, so the match should be approached as one in which Club Brugge are better placed but still likely to face meaningful resistance. Oud-Heverlee Leuven will have home advantage and should have opportunities to challenge the visitors, particularly if they can turn the game into an open contest.
The available assessment points towards an attacking match, with a strong chance that both teams find the net. That creates a potentially lively balance: Club Brugge’s greater strength makes them the more convincing side, while Oud-Heverlee Leuven have enough attacking potential to contribute to the scoring. A narrow away victory fits the overall picture, although a draw remains a credible alternative if the hosts make the most of their chances and limit Club Brugge’s control.
What matters before kick-off
Ludovit Reis leaves Club Brugge
On August 14, 2026, Club Brugge finalized the transfer of Dutch midfielder Ludovit Reis to German Bundesliga side Werder Bremen.
Recent league results for both teams
Ahead of this fixture, Club Brugge secured a 3-0 win against KV Kortrijk, while Oud-Heverlee Leuven suffered a 3-1 defeat to Sporting Charleroi.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.
