RAAL La Louviere — KAA Gent: Win probabilities, 16.08.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 60.1% |
| 12 | 71.0% | |
| X2 | 68.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.2% / 45.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.2% / 8.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.8% / 25.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 48.3% / 51.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 26.5% / 73.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 12.3% / 87.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.9% / 95.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 16.08.2026
RAAL La Louviere
13th place · 0 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 away Anderlecht 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Cercle Brugge 4:1
- 26.04.2026 away Waregem 0:4
- 19.04.2026 home Waregem 0:2
- 11.04.2026 away Cercle Brugge 0:3
KAA Gent
6th place · 3 pts after 1Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:0
- 24.05.2026 away Club Brugge 0:5
- 21.05.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:0
- 16.05.2026 away St Truiden 1:1
- 10.05.2026 home Anderlecht 1:1
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 30.01.2026 RAAL La Louviere 1:1 KAA Gent
- 02.08.2025 KAA Gent 1:0 RAAL La Louviere
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RAAL La Louviere and KAA Gent meet in the First Division A in a contest that looks evenly matched overall. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side establishing a clear advantage before kickoff. The expected profile is medium-scoring, suggesting a game that could develop through measured phases rather than consistently open play.
The scoring outlook between the teams is balanced, with both teams scoring remaining difficult to separate. A draw is therefore a credible possibility, while KAA Gent appear to have a slight edge in the broader result signal, particularly in scenarios where they avoid defeat. RAAL La Louviere should still remain competitive, and the match may be decided by how well each side manages the transitions between defence and attack. A controlled opening could give way to greater risk-taking later, especially if the score remains level.
What matters before kick-off
Gent's Conference League play-offs
KAA Gent face a busy European schedule alongside domestic action, having qualified for the UEFA Conference League play-off round against Scottish side Hibernian FC with matches scheduled for August 20 and 27, 2026.
Gent fans boycott away trip
Official KAA Gent supporters' clubs decided not to travel to the match against RAAL La Louvière due to restrictions imposed on visiting fans.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.