Yellow-Red KV Mechelen — RSC Anderlecht: Win probabilities, 11.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 46.0% |
| 12 | 76.3% | |
| X2 | 77.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.9% / 42.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.6% / 19.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.7% / 42.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.3% / 64.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.5% / 81.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.4% / 91.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 11.09.2026
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
15th place · 2 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Westerlo 0:4
- 29.08.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Charleroi 0:2
- 16.08.2026 home Standard 3:3
- 09.08.2026 away Gent 0:2
RSC Anderlecht
11th place · 7 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 home Genk 0:0
- 03.09.2026 home Kortrijk 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:3
- 16.08.2026 away Beveren 0:1
- 09.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:1
This season: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen at home vs RSC Anderlecht away
| Metric | Yellow-Red KV Mechelen · at home | RSC Anderlecht · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.66 | 1.31 |
| xG against per match | 2.03 | 1.12 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.50 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 7.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.05.2026 RSC Anderlecht 2:2 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 18.04.2026 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:2 RSC Anderlecht
- 15.03.2026 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:0 RSC Anderlecht
- 01.11.2025 RSC Anderlecht 3:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 26.01.2025 RSC Anderlecht 4:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 17.08.2024 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:3 RSC Anderlecht
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen host RSC Anderlecht in a First Division A meeting that projects as a medium-scoring contest. The assessment gives RSC Anderlecht a slight edge, with the away side better positioned overall while Yellow-Red KV Mechelen remain capable of making the match competitive.
Both teams are likely to score, so the game may develop through chances at both ends rather than being controlled exclusively by one side. The main scorelines point towards a close draw or a narrow RSC Anderlecht victory, with 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2 among the most plausible outcomes. Overall, there is a clear lean towards the visitors, but the expected balance of the match leaves room for Yellow-Red KV Mechelen to stay involved.
What matters before kick-off
Anderlecht's upcoming schedule
Following their First Division A match away at Yellow-Red KV Mechelen on 11 September 2026, RSC Anderlecht are scheduled to host Olympique Lyonnais in the UEFA Europa League on 16 September.
KV Mechelen's ticketing restriction
To maintain stadium safety, Yellow-Red KV Mechelen introduced restricted sales for the home fixture against RSC Anderlecht, permitting ticket purchases only for fans with recent match ticketing history.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.