Match intelligence

Club Brugge — Royal Antwerp FC: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
Club Brugge3
:
1Royal Antwerp FC
Locked signal W1 Probability 79.6% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 79.6% Home win Club Brugge
X 13.1% Draw
W2 7.3% Away win Royal Antwerp FC
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X92.7%
Both teams to score
Yes53.2%
Totals 2.5
Over72.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X92.7%
1286.9%
X220.4%
Both teams to scoreYes/No53.2% / 46.8%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 97.4% / 2.6%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 88.9% / 11.1%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 72.0% / 28.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 51.3% / 48.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 31.9% / 68.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 17.5% / 82.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

Club Brugge × Royal Antwerp FC
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 2.6%
0:1 1.7%
0:2 0.8%
0:3 0.2%
0:4 0.0%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 6.7%
1:1 6.0%
1:2 2.3%
1:3 0.6%
1:4 0.1%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 10.1%
2:1 8.3%
2:2 3.4%
2:3 0.9%
2:4 0.2%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 9.9%
3:1 8.1%
3:2 3.3%
3:3 0.9%
3:4 0.2%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 7.2%
4:1 5.9%
4:2 2.4%
4:3 0.7%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 4.2%
5:1 3.4%
5:2 1.4%
5:3 0.4%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.2%
3:09.9%
2:18.3%
3:18.1%
4:07.2%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026

Club Brugge

3rd place · 12 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 04.09.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
  • 30.08.2026 away Gent 1:2
  • 23.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 1:0
  • 15.08.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
  • 07.08.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0

Royal Antwerp FC

11th place · 7 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 05.09.2026 away Standard 0:1
  • 30.08.2026 home St Truiden 1:4
  • 22.08.2026 home Genk 4:4
  • 15.08.2026 away Kortrijk 3:0
  • 09.08.2026 home Beveren 2:1

This season: Club Brugge at home vs Royal Antwerp FC away

Metric Club Brugge · at home Royal Antwerp FC · away
Matches22
W–D–L2–0–01–0–1
Goals scored per match2.001.50
Goals conceded per match0.000.50
xG for per match2.811.01
xG against per match0.932.09
Shots on target per match6.005.50
Corners per match7.507.00
Over 2.5 goals50%50%
Both teams scored0%0%

Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings

Club Brugge wins3
Draws1
Royal Antwerp FC wins2
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
  • 30.11.2025 Club Brugge 0:1 Royal Antwerp FC
  • 26.10.2025 Royal Antwerp FC 0:1 Club Brugge
  • 25.05.2025 Club Brugge 1:1 Royal Antwerp FC
  • 06.04.2025 Royal Antwerp FC 2:3 Club Brugge
  • 02.02.2025 Royal Antwerp FC 2:1 Club Brugge
  • 18.08.2024 Club Brugge 1:0 Royal Antwerp FC

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

Club Brugge host Royal Antwerp FC in First Division A on 13 September at 11:30 UTC, with the available assessment pointing to a clear advantage for the home side. Club Brugge are rated as clearly stronger, and the high confidence attached to that view suggests they should control more of the match and create the better opportunities. Royal Antwerp FC will need to remain compact and make efficient use of their chances if they are to challenge that expectation.

The match is also projected to have an open, high-scoring character rather than developing into a cautious contest. The assessment gives no clear preference on whether both teams will score, making that aspect difficult to separate. The most likely scorelines include a Club Brugge win by two goals, with a narrower home victory also considered. Overall, the framework favours Club Brugge, while Royal Antwerp FC retain a route into the game if they can withstand the early pressure and contribute to the attacking tempo.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Team news

Marc Overmars steps down at Royal Antwerp

On September 9, 2026, Marc Overmars announced he is stepping down as Royal Antwerp's sporting director due to health issues.

Schedule

Champions League fixture for Club Brugge

On September 8, 2026, Club Brugge fell to a 3-2 defeat against Aston Villa in their UEFA Champions League opening fixture.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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