Match intelligence

SV Zulte Waregem — Royal Charleroi SC: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 37.3% Home win SV Zulte Waregem
X 26.9% Draw
W2 35.7% Away win Royal Charleroi SC
Check current terms · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
Check available odds
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1273.1%
Both teams to score
Yes61.6%
Totals 2.5
Over57.7%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X64.3%
1273.1%
X262.7%
Both teams to scoreYes/No61.6% / 38.4%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.7% / 6.3%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 81.4% / 18.6%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 57.7% / 42.3%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 35.3% / 64.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 18.5% / 81.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 8.4% / 91.6%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SV Zulte Waregem × Royal Charleroi SC
HomeAway
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.3%
0:1 6.1%
0:2 5.5%
0:3 2.7%
0:4 1.0%
0:5 0.3%
1
1:0 6.3%
1:1 12.5%
1:2 8.3%
1:3 4.1%
1:4 1.5%
1:5 0.4%
2
2:0 5.7%
2:1 8.5%
2:2 6.3%
2:3 3.1%
2:4 1.2%
2:5 0.3%
3
3:0 2.9%
3:1 4.3%
3:2 3.2%
3:3 1.6%
3:4 0.6%
3:5 0.2%
4
4:0 1.1%
4:1 1.6%
4:2 1.2%
4:3 0.6%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.5%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.5%
2:18.5%
1:28.3%
2:26.3%
0:06.3%
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SV Zulte Waregem and Royal Charleroi SC meet in a First Division A fixture that looks closely balanced. The available assessment describes the teams as evenly matched, with moderate confidence in that reading. Neither side has a clearly established advantage in the information provided, so the contest is likely to be shaped by small tactical details and how effectively each team manages the key phases of the match.

The expected scoring profile is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with opportunities at both ends without pointing toward an especially open encounter. The assessment of both teams scoring is finely balanced, making it difficult to identify a dependable pattern in that market. Overall, the signal leans toward SV Zulte Waregem avoiding defeat, but the narrow margin in the evaluation keeps Royal Charleroi SC firmly involved. A draw remains a credible outcome, while the match could also be decided by a single goal if one side converts its chances more efficiently.

Other matches

→ First Division A

After the analysis · 1WIN18+ Bonus up to $500 Sports betting, live markets and mobile app. Available only to users of legal gambling age in eligible regions.
View offer
OFFICIAL ODDMIND.APP TELEGRAM CHANNEL New predictions — automatically in Telegram Get new signals and full-analysis links as soon as they are published. Join the channel
About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling