SV Zulte Waregem — Royal Charleroi SC: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 62.0% |
| 12 | 72.4% | |
| X2 | 65.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.5% / 41.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.6% / 21.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.8% / 46.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.5% / 68.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.7% / 84.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.8% / 93.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026
SV Zulte Waregem
5th place · 11 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 06.09.2026 away Kortrijk 2:0
- 30.08.2026 away Westerlo 2:2
- 22.08.2026 home Beveren 4:0
- 15.08.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Genk 2:1
Royal Charleroi SC
4th place · 12 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 2:3
- 29.08.2026 away Kortrijk 3:1
- 22.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Lommel SK 1:0
- 09.08.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:1
This season: SV Zulte Waregem at home vs Royal Charleroi SC away
| Metric | SV Zulte Waregem · at home | Royal Charleroi SC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 2–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.57 | 1.47 |
| xG against per match | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 8.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 22.03.2026 SV Zulte Waregem 1:0 Royal Charleroi SC
- 20.09.2025 Royal Charleroi SC 1:2 SV Zulte Waregem
- 08.04.2023 Royal Charleroi SC 3:2 SV Zulte Waregem
- 21.08.2022 SV Zulte Waregem 1:3 Royal Charleroi SC
- 10.04.2022 Royal Charleroi SC 3:0 SV Zulte Waregem
- 22.08.2021 SV Zulte Waregem 2:2 Royal Charleroi SC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SV Zulte Waregem and Royal Charleroi SC meet in a First Division A fixture that looks closely balanced. The available assessment describes the teams as evenly matched, with moderate confidence in that reading. Neither side has a clearly established advantage in the information provided, so the contest is likely to be shaped by small tactical details and how effectively each team manages the key phases of the match.
The expected scoring profile is medium-scoring, suggesting a game with opportunities at both ends without pointing toward an especially open encounter. The assessment of both teams scoring is finely balanced, making it difficult to identify a dependable pattern in that market. Overall, the signal leans toward SV Zulte Waregem avoiding defeat, but the narrow margin in the evaluation keeps Royal Charleroi SC firmly involved. A draw remains a credible outcome, while the match could also be decided by a single goal if one side converts its chances more efficiently.
What matters before kick-off
Zulte Waregem's undefeated start
Promoted SV Zulte Waregem started their Belgian Pro League season unbeaten in their opening five matches, earning 11 points prior to facing Royal Charleroi SC.
Royal Charleroi SC position before matchday 6
Royal Charleroi SC entered matchday 6 sitting in 4th place with 12 points from 5 matches, seeking to bounce back following their first league loss of the season against Union Saint-Gilloise.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.