Match intelligence

RAAL La Louviere — KV Kortrijk: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

✓ Prediction hit
RAAL La Louviere3
:
0KV Kortrijk
Locked signal 1X Probability 67.1% Verdict Hit
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 39.2% Home win RAAL La Louviere
X 27.9% Draw
W2 32.9% Away win KV Kortrijk
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.1%
Both teams to score
Yes58.0%
Totals 2.5
Over53.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X67.1%
1272.1%
X260.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No58.0% / 42.0%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.6% / 7.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 78.2% / 21.8%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 53.0% / 47.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 30.8% / 69.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 15.2% / 84.8%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 6.5% / 93.5%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RAAL La Louviere × KV Kortrijk
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.4%
0:1 6.8%
0:2 5.4%
0:3 2.4%
0:4 0.8%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 7.6%
1:1 13.2%
1:2 7.9%
1:3 3.5%
1:4 1.2%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 6.6%
2:1 8.7%
2:2 5.8%
2:3 2.6%
2:4 0.9%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 3.2%
3:1 4.3%
3:2 2.8%
3:3 1.3%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.2%
4:1 1.6%
4:2 1.0%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.2%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.5%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.2%
2:18.7%
1:27.9%
1:07.6%
0:07.4%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 13.09.2026

RAAL La Louviere

16th place · 1 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 05.09.2026 away St Truiden 0:4
  • 29.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:2
  • 21.08.2026 away Standard 0:2
  • 16.08.2026 home Gent 1:2
  • 09.08.2026 away Anderlecht 1:2

KV Kortrijk

18th place · 0 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 06.09.2026 home Waregem 0:2
  • 03.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:1
  • 29.08.2026 home Charleroi 1:3
  • 15.08.2026 home Antwerp 0:3
  • 07.08.2026 away Club Brugge 0:3

This season: RAAL La Louviere at home vs KV Kortrijk away

Metric RAAL La Louviere · at home KV Kortrijk · away
Matches22
W–D–L0–1–10–0–2
Goals scored per match1.500.00
Goals conceded per match2.002.00
xG for per match1.360.66
xG against per match1.652.67
Shots on target per match5.002.00
Corners per match3.501.50
Over 2.5 goals100%50%
Both teams scored100%0%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

RAAL La Louviere and KV Kortrijk appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with the home side offering a slight positional edge through the 1X signal. Confidence is moderate, so the match should be approached as a contest in which small details may prove decisive rather than one with an obvious favorite.

The game is expected to sit in a medium-scoring range, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines point toward a close encounter, including a draw or a narrow home victory. RAAL La Louviere may benefit from playing on home ground, but KV Kortrijk have enough to keep the contest competitive. Overall, the outlook favors a tight match with limited separation between the teams.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

KV Kortrijk's losing streak

KV Kortrijk enter the match having lost all five of their opening Belgian First Division A matches this season.

Schedule

RAAL La Louvière's previous result

RAAL La Louvière suffered a 4-0 away defeat against Sint-Truiden in their previous Belgian Pro League fixture.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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