Match intelligence

RAAL La Louviere — KV Kortrijk: Win probabilities, 13.09.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 39.2% Home win RAAL La Louviere
X 27.9% Draw
W2 32.9% Away win KV Kortrijk
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Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1272.1%
Both teams to score
Yes56.1%
Totals 2.5
Over50.9%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X67.1%
1272.1%
X260.8%
Both teams to scoreYes/No56.1% / 43.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 92.2% / 7.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 76.4% / 23.6%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 50.9% / 49.1%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 28.8% / 71.2%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 13.9% / 86.1%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 5.8% / 94.2%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

RAAL La Louviere × KV Kortrijk
HomeAway
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 7.8%
0:1 7.5%
0:2 5.5%
0:3 2.4%
0:4 0.8%
0:5 0.2%
1
1:0 8.3%
1:1 13.3%
1:2 7.8%
1:3 3.4%
1:4 1.1%
1:5 0.3%
2
2:0 6.7%
2:1 8.7%
2:2 5.6%
2:3 2.4%
2:4 0.8%
2:5 0.2%
3
3:0 3.2%
3:1 4.1%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 1.1%
3:4 0.4%
3:5 0.1%
4
4:0 1.1%
4:1 1.5%
4:2 0.9%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 0.3%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.3%
5:3 0.1%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.3%
2:18.7%
1:08.3%
1:27.8%
0:07.8%

Odds movement

W1 was 2.25 → now 2.35
W2 was 2.90 → now 2.75
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

RAAL La Louviere and KV Kortrijk appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with the home side offering a slight positional edge through the 1X signal. Confidence is moderate, so the match should be approached as a contest in which small details may prove decisive rather than one with an obvious favorite.

The game is expected to sit in a medium-scoring range, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains finely balanced. The most plausible scorelines point toward a close encounter, including a draw or a narrow home victory. RAAL La Louviere may benefit from playing on home ground, but KV Kortrijk have enough to keep the contest competitive. Overall, the outlook favors a tight match with limited separation between the teams.

Other matches

→ First Division A

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About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling