KVC Westerlo — Standard Liege: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.8% |
| 12 | 73.7% | |
| X2 | 61.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.9% / 34.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.0% / 15.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.9% / 37.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 40.7% / 59.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 22.7% / 77.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.0% / 89.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
KVC Westerlo
13th place · 4 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 away Mechelen 4:0
- 30.08.2026 home Waregem 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Lommel SK 0:4
- 15.08.2026 away Genk 2:3
- 08.08.2026 home St. Gilloise 1:5
Standard Liege
6th place · 11 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Antwerp 1:0
- 29.08.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1
- 21.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Mechelen 3:3
- 08.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 2:2
This season: KVC Westerlo at home vs Standard Liege away
| Metric | KVC Westerlo · at home | Standard Liege · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 1–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.47 | 1.51 |
| xG against per match | 1.65 | 2.32 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.05.2026 KVC Westerlo 1:2 Standard Liege
- 11.04.2026 Standard Liege 1:2 KVC Westerlo
- 22.03.2026 Standard Liege 0:0 KVC Westerlo
- 21.09.2025 KVC Westerlo 0:2 Standard Liege
- 24.05.2025 KVC Westerlo 0:0 Standard Liege
- 19.04.2025 Standard Liege 1:1 KVC Westerlo
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment gives this reading moderate confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be decided by small details, particularly how each team manages the balance between attacking intent and defensive control.
The scoring outlook points towards an open match rather than a cautious one. Both KVC Westerlo and Standard Liege are considered likely to score, making the BTTS market the clearest signal in the assessment. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1, which also reflects the narrow gap between the teams. A draw is a realistic possibility, but either side could edge the match if it converts its opportunities more efficiently.
What matters before kick-off
Recent team results
In their previous league matches, KVC Westerlo secured a 4-0 road victory over KV Mechelen, while Standard Liege earned a 1-0 home win against Royal Antwerp, marking their third consecutive victory.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.