SK Beveren — St. Truidense VV: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 58.0% |
| 12 | 73.1% | |
| X2 | 69.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 66.3% / 33.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.2% / 5.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.6% / 14.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.2% / 36.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.0% / 59.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.0% / 77.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.2% / 88.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| W1 | was 3.00 → now 2.90 |
Match preview
SK Beveren and St. Truidense VV meet in First Division A in a contest that points towards an open and competitive game. The available assessment gives St. Truidense VV a slight edge, although the moderate confidence indicates that the difference between the teams is not decisive. SK Beveren should remain firmly in contention, particularly if they can match the visitors’ attacking intensity.
The scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes a cautious, low-event match less likely and places importance on defensive concentration throughout the game. St. Truidense VV appears to have the stronger overall position, but SK Beveren have a realistic route to avoiding defeat. The most plausible scenarios include a balanced draw or a narrow away win, with the match potentially decided by how effectively either side manages the spaces created during attacking phases.
What matters before kick-off
SK Beveren Host STVV in Matchday 6
SK Beveren face Sint-Truidense VV at Freethielstadion for matchday 6 of the Belgian Pro League. The hosts enter the fixture following a 3–0 home victory against OH Leuven.
SK Beveren Availability News
SK Beveren attacker Kurt Abrahams misses the match due to a minor injury. In addition, striker Victor Olatunji is not yet eligible to feature in this fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.