Match intelligence

SK Beveren — St. Truidense VV: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026

League: First Division A (Belgium) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
SK Beveren2
:
0St. Truidense VV
Locked signal X2 Probability 69.0% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 31.0% Home win SK Beveren
X 26.9% Draw
W2 42.0% Away win St. Truidense VV
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1273.1%
Both teams to score
Yes66.3%
Totals 2.5
Over63.2%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X58.0%
1273.1%
X269.0%
Both teams to scoreYes/No66.3% / 33.7%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 94.2% / 5.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 85.6% / 14.4%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 63.2% / 36.8%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 41.0% / 59.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 23.0% / 77.0%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 11.2% / 88.8%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

SK Beveren × St. Truidense VV
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 5.8%
0:1 4.8%
0:2 6.0%
0:3 3.5%
0:4 1.5%
0:5 0.5%
1
1:0 3.8%
1:1 12.1%
1:2 8.9%
1:3 5.2%
1:4 2.3%
1:5 0.8%
2
2:0 4.3%
2:1 7.6%
2:2 6.7%
2:3 3.9%
2:4 1.7%
2:5 0.6%
3
3:0 2.2%
3:1 3.8%
3:2 3.3%
3:3 2.0%
3:4 0.9%
3:5 0.3%
4
4:0 0.8%
4:1 1.4%
4:2 1.3%
4:3 0.7%
4:4 0.3%
4:5 0.1%
5
5:0 0.2%
5:1 0.4%
5:2 0.4%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.1%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.1%
1:28.9%
2:17.6%
2:26.7%
0:26.0%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026

SK Beveren

12th place · 6 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 06.09.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
  • 28.08.2026 away Genk 0:4
  • 22.08.2026 away Waregem 0:4
  • 16.08.2026 home Anderlecht 1:0
  • 09.08.2026 away Antwerp 1:2

St. Truidense VV

8th place · 8 pts after 5

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 05.09.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 4:0
  • 02.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:3
  • 30.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:1
  • 14.08.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:3
  • 08.08.2026 home Lommel SK 1:1

This season: SK Beveren at home vs St. Truidense VV away

Metric SK Beveren · at home St. Truidense VV · away
Matches22
W–D–L2–0–01–1–0
Goals scored per match2.003.50
Goals conceded per match0.002.00
xG for per match1.662.72
xG against per match1.082.46
Shots on target per match5.007.00
Corners per match4.002.00
Over 2.5 goals50%100%
Both teams scored0%100%

Head-to-head

No previous meetings found in the available data.

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

SK Beveren and St. Truidense VV meet in First Division A in a contest that points towards an open and competitive game. The available assessment gives St. Truidense VV a slight edge, although the moderate confidence indicates that the difference between the teams is not decisive. SK Beveren should remain firmly in contention, particularly if they can match the visitors’ attacking intensity.

The scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to find the net. That makes a cautious, low-event match less likely and places importance on defensive concentration throughout the game. St. Truidense VV appears to have the stronger overall position, but SK Beveren have a realistic route to avoiding defeat. The most plausible scenarios include a balanced draw or a narrow away win, with the match potentially decided by how effectively either side manages the spaces created during attacking phases.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

SK Beveren Host STVV in Matchday 6

SK Beveren face Sint-Truidense VV at Freethielstadion for matchday 6 of the Belgian Pro League. The hosts enter the fixture following a 3–0 home victory against OH Leuven.

Availability

SK Beveren Availability News

SK Beveren attacker Kurt Abrahams misses the match due to a minor injury. In addition, striker Victor Olatunji is not yet eligible to feature in this fixture.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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