Yellow-Red KV Mechelen — KVC Westerlo: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.4% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.1% / 37.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.6% / 5.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.1% / 16.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.7% / 39.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.3% / 61.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.8% / 79.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.8% / 90.2% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
14th place · 2 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Charleroi 0:2
- 16.08.2026 home Standard 3:3
- 09.08.2026 away Gent 0:2
- 24.05.2026 away St Truiden 0:3
KVC Westerlo
16th place · 1 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Waregem 2:2
- 23.08.2026 away Lommel SK 0:4
- 15.08.2026 away Genk 2:3
- 08.08.2026 home St. Gilloise 1:5
- 23.05.2026 away Antwerp 0:2
This season: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen at home vs KVC Westerlo away
| Metric | Yellow-Red KV Mechelen · at home | KVC Westerlo · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.75 | 0.76 |
| xG against per match | 1.65 | 2.79 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 25.01.2026 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1:1 KVC Westerlo
- 09.08.2025 KVC Westerlo 0:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 26.04.2025 KVC Westerlo 2:2 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 22.04.2025 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 2:3 KVC Westerlo
- 20.12.2024 KVC Westerlo 1:1 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen
- 03.08.2024 Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 2:4 KVC Westerlo
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Yellow-Red KV Mechelen hold a slight edge over KVC Westerlo in this First Division A meeting, although the moderate confidence suggests a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. The available indicators point toward an open match, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination could make the balance shift quickly if either side takes an early lead.
The central expectation is a result that keeps Yellow-Red KV Mechelen in contention, while a draw also appears consistent with the overall picture. KVC Westerlo have enough attacking potential to make the home advantage less decisive, so the visitors should remain involved throughout. The most plausible score patterns are close, with a one-goal home victory and a level result both fitting the assessment. A narrow KVC Westerlo win is also within the range of outcomes, underlining the limited separation between the teams.
What matters before kick-off
Coaching staff connections to KV Mechelen
KVC Westerlo head coach Mohamed Charaï and assistant coach Yoni Buyens both previously represented KV Mechelen as players.
Young KVC Westerlo squad
In the previous Belgian First Division matchday, KVC Westerlo fielded the league's youngest starting lineup with an average age of 22.4 years.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.