Lommel SK — Club Brugge: Win probabilities, 04.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 25.2% |
| 12 | 84.1% | |
| X2 | 90.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 62.1% / 37.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.1% / 2.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 91.6% / 8.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 75.6% / 24.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 55.9% / 44.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 36.3% / 63.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 20.9% / 79.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 04.09.2026
Lommel SK
8th place · 7 pts after 4Last 4 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Cercle Brugge 1:0
- 23.08.2026 home Westerlo 4:0
- 16.08.2026 home Charleroi 0:1
- 08.08.2026 away St Truiden 1:1
Club Brugge
4th place · 9 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Gent 1:2
- 23.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 1:0
- 15.08.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3:0
- 07.08.2026 home Kortrijk 3:0
- 24.05.2026 home Gent 5:0
This season: Lommel SK at home vs Club Brugge away
| Metric | Lommel SK · at home | Club Brugge · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–1 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.84 | 1.79 |
| xG against per match | 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 3.50 | 10.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Lommel SK host Club Brugge in the First Division A, with the available assessment giving Club Brugge a clear advantage. The visitors are rated as the stronger side, and the high confidence behind that view suggests that the main expectation is an away victory rather than a closely balanced contest. Lommel SK will need to remain disciplined and efficient in possession if they are to limit Club Brugge’s attacking influence.
The match is also projected to be open, with a high-scoring pattern and both teams likely to find the net. That combination leaves room for Lommel SK to contribute offensively, even though Club Brugge are expected to control the more decisive phases of the game. The indicated scorelines are 0:2, 0:3 and 1:2, all of which point toward an away win while allowing for different levels of resistance from the hosts. Overall, the strongest signal is a Club Brugge victory in an entertaining match.
What matters before kick-off
Carlos Forbs Red Card
In their previous league fixture, Club Brugge suffered a 2-1 defeat against KAA Gent, with winger Carlos Forbs receiving a red card in the 70th minute.
Lommel SK Recent Victory
Lommel SK enters the match following a 1-0 away victory against Cercle Brugge on August 29, 2026, secured by a goal from Tom Reyners.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.