RSC Anderlecht — KV Kortrijk: Win probabilities, 03.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.5% |
| 12 | 81.9% | |
| X2 | 30.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.1% / 3.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.3% / 14.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.3% / 34.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.3% / 56.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.9% / 75.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.5% / 87.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 03.09.2026
RSC Anderlecht
11th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:3
- 16.08.2026 away Beveren 0:1
- 09.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:1
- 24.05.2026 away St. Gilloise 1:5
- 21.05.2026 home St Truiden 3:1
KV Kortrijk
18th place · 0 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Charleroi 1:3
- 15.08.2026 home Antwerp 0:3
- 07.08.2026 away Club Brugge 0:3
- 10.05.2025 home St Truiden 2:2
- 03.05.2025 away Cercle Brugge 2:0
This season: RSC Anderlecht at home vs KV Kortrijk away
| Metric | RSC Anderlecht · at home | KV Kortrijk · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 3.05 | 0.86 |
| xG against per match | 0.74 | 3.85 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 19.01.2025 KV Kortrijk 0:2 RSC Anderlecht
- 03.11.2024 RSC Anderlecht 4:0 KV Kortrijk
- 16.03.2024 RSC Anderlecht 0:1 KV Kortrijk
- 17.09.2023 KV Kortrijk 2:2 RSC Anderlecht
- 19.02.2023 KV Kortrijk 2:2 RSC Anderlecht
- 18.09.2022 RSC Anderlecht 4:1 KV Kortrijk
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RSC Anderlecht go into this First Division A meeting with a clear but not overwhelming advantage over KV Kortrijk. The available assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, while the moderate confidence level suggests that this should be viewed as a measured edge rather than a definitive prediction. RSC Anderlecht are the more likely side to control the match and create the better opportunities, but KV Kortrijk remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The overall scoring outlook is high, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination leaves room for an open match in which RSC Anderlecht’s greater strength could be decisive, particularly if they turn early pressure into goals. KV Kortrijk’s attacking contribution means the hosts may need to manage the game carefully rather than rely solely on their superiority. The most plausible scorelines range from a controlled home win to a tighter draw, reflecting both the home advantage and the possibility of goals at both ends.
What matters before kick-off
Match Rescheduled Due to European Qualifiers
The Belgian Pro League match between RSC Anderlecht and KV Kortrijk was rescheduled to September 3, 2026, to accommodate Anderlecht's European qualification schedule.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.