St. Truidense VV — Union Saint-Gilloise: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 50.5% |
| 12 | 74.4% | |
| X2 | 75.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.0% / 6.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 82.2% / 17.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.8% / 41.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 36.5% / 63.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 19.4% / 80.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.9% / 91.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026
St. Truidense VV
10th place · 5 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:1
- 14.08.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:3
- 08.08.2026 home Lommel SK 1:1
- 24.05.2026 home Mechelen 3:0
- 21.05.2026 away Anderlecht 1:3
Union Saint-Gilloise
6th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home Anderlecht 3:0
- 15.08.2026 home Waregem 0:0
- 08.08.2026 away Westerlo 5:1
- 24.05.2026 home Anderlecht 5:1
- 21.05.2026 away Gent 0:0
This season: St. Truidense VV at home vs Union Saint-Gilloise away
| Metric | St. Truidense VV · at home | Union Saint-Gilloise · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.99 | 1.79 |
| xG against per match | 1.50 | 0.76 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 02.05.2026 St. Truidense VV 2:1 Union Saint-Gilloise
- 04.04.2026 Union Saint-Gilloise 1:0 St. Truidense VV
- 22.03.2026 St. Truidense VV 1:3 Union Saint-Gilloise
- 26.10.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise 2:0 St. Truidense VV
- 02.02.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise 2:1 St. Truidense VV
- 25.08.2024 St. Truidense VV 0:0 Union Saint-Gilloise
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
St. Truidense VV face Union Saint-Gilloise in a First Division A meeting where the visitors hold a slight edge. The overall assessment points towards Union Saint-Gilloise avoiding defeat, while the balance between the teams still leaves room for a competitive contest rather than a one-sided match. Confidence in this away-leaning view is high, although the expected margin remains limited.
The game is projected to have an open attacking character, with both St. Truidense VV and Union Saint-Gilloise likely to find the net. That combination suggests a match shaped by chances at both ends and a tempo that could produce several goals. St. Truidense VV should have opportunities to challenge the visitors, but Union Saint-Gilloise are rated more favourably in the overall outcome assessment.
What matters before kick-off
STVV's away victory over Antwerp
St. Truidense VV enter the match following a 4-1 away victory over Royal Antwerp in the Jupiler Pro League, where Samed Bazdar scored twice.
Union SG's home win over Anderlecht
Union Saint-Gilloise head into the fixture on the back of a 3-0 home victory against Anderlecht in their latest Pro League match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.