Standard Liege — Royal Antwerp FC: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 73.8% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.1% / 18.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.7% / 43.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.3% / 65.7% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.8% / 82.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.0% / 92.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
Standard Liege
6th place · 8 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:1
- 21.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:0
- 16.08.2026 away Mechelen 3:3
- 08.08.2026 home Cercle Brugge 2:2
- 23.05.2026 home Charleroi 0:2
Royal Antwerp FC
9th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 home St Truiden 1:4
- 22.08.2026 home Genk 4:4
- 15.08.2026 away Kortrijk 3:0
- 09.08.2026 home Beveren 2:1
- 23.05.2026 home Westerlo 2:0
This season: Standard Liege at home vs Royal Antwerp FC away
| Metric | Standard Liege · at home | Royal Antwerp FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–1–0 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.87 | 1.19 |
| xG against per match | 1.27 | 0.77 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 03.05.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 0:5 Standard Liege
- 21.04.2026 Standard Liege 1:2 Royal Antwerp FC
- 15.03.2026 Royal Antwerp FC 1:1 Standard Liege
- 20.10.2025 Standard Liege 1:0 Royal Antwerp FC
- 16.03.2025 Standard Liege 0:0 Royal Antwerp FC
- 27.10.2024 Royal Antwerp FC 3:0 Standard Liege
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Standard Liege have a clear but narrow edge over Royal Antwerp FC in this First Division A meeting. The outlook points towards a competitive match rather than a one-sided contest, with the hosts favoured to avoid defeat and possessing the stronger overall position in the assessment. The balance of the game may depend on whether Standard Liege can turn that home advantage into control of the key phases.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, while both teams are likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open enough match for chances at both ends, but not necessarily a high-scoring affair. A draw remains a realistic outcome, particularly if Royal Antwerp FC can match the hosts' intensity and limit clear opportunities. The most plausible scenarios range from a level result to a narrow Standard Liege win, with defensive discipline likely to be important in deciding the final margin.
What matters before kick-off
Recent League Form
Standard Liège enter the match following a 2-1 victory over OH Leuven. Royal Antwerp suffered a 4-1 defeat against Sint-Truiden in their previous league fixture.
Previous Head-to-Head Result
In their most recent head-to-head meeting, Standard Liège earned a 5-0 away victory against Royal Antwerp.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.