RSC Anderlecht — KRC Genk: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.5% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.2% / 34.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.6% / 15.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.2% / 36.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.0% / 59.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.0% / 77.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.2% / 88.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
RSC Anderlecht
11th place · 6 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 home Kortrijk 1:0
- 30.08.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:3
- 16.08.2026 away Beveren 0:1
- 09.08.2026 home RAAL La Louviere 2:1
- 24.05.2026 away St. Gilloise 1:5
KRC Genk
8th place · 7 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 home Beveren 4:0
- 22.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:4
- 15.08.2026 home Westerlo 3:2
- 09.08.2026 away Waregem 1:2
- 23.05.2026 away Oud-Heverlee Leuven 2:0
This season: RSC Anderlecht at home vs KRC Genk away
| Metric | RSC Anderlecht · at home | KRC Genk · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–0 | 0–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.27 | 0.93 |
| xG against per match | 0.60 | 1.19 |
| Shots on target per match | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.50 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 08.02.2026 KRC Genk 2:0 RSC Anderlecht
- 14.09.2025 RSC Anderlecht 1:1 KRC Genk
- 25.05.2025 KRC Genk 2:1 RSC Anderlecht
- 06.04.2025 RSC Anderlecht 1:2 KRC Genk
- 22.12.2024 KRC Genk 2:0 RSC Anderlecht
- 17.09.2024 RSC Anderlecht 0:2 KRC Genk
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
RSC Anderlecht meet KRC Genk in a First Division A fixture that appears closely balanced, with a moderate slight edge for the home side. The available assessment points toward an open contest rather than a cautious match, with both teams likely to find the net. RSC Anderlecht’s home advantage gives them a narrow positional benefit, but it is not strong enough to separate the teams clearly.
The projected scorelines underline the uncertainty around the outcome, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:2 all considered plausible. That range suggests KRC Genk have sufficient attacking potential to make the match competitive, while RSC Anderlecht remain marginally better placed to avoid defeat. Overall, the main expectation is a high-scoring encounter in which both sides create opportunities, with the hosts holding a slight edge but the draw and an away win remaining credible possibilities.
What matters before kick-off
Pro League fixture at Lotto Park
RSC Anderlecht host KRC Genk at Lotto Park in Brussels on 6 September 2026 as part of the Belgian First Division A regular season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.