RSC Anderlecht — KRC Genk: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.5% |
| 12 | 75.1% | |
| X2 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.2% / 34.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.2% / 4.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.6% / 15.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 63.2% / 36.8% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 41.0% / 59.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 23.0% / 77.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 11.2% / 88.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
RSC Anderlecht meet KRC Genk in a First Division A fixture that appears closely balanced, with a moderate slight edge for the home side. The available assessment points toward an open contest rather than a cautious match, with both teams likely to find the net. RSC Anderlecht’s home advantage gives them a narrow positional benefit, but it is not strong enough to separate the teams clearly.
The projected scorelines underline the uncertainty around the outcome, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:2 all considered plausible. That range suggests KRC Genk have sufficient attacking potential to make the match competitive, while RSC Anderlecht remain marginally better placed to avoid defeat. Overall, the main expectation is a high-scoring encounter in which both sides create opportunities, with the hosts holding a slight edge but the draw and an away win remaining credible possibilities.
What matters before kick-off
Pro League fixture at Lotto Park
RSC Anderlecht host KRC Genk at Lotto Park in Brussels on 6 September 2026 as part of the Belgian First Division A regular season.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.