Cercle Brugge — KAA Gent: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.0% |
| 12 | 73.9% | |
| X2 | 67.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 61.5% / 38.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.3% / 18.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.1% / 41.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.7% / 64.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.8% / 81.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.6% / 91.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
Cercle Brugge
14th place · 2 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Lommel SK 0:1
- 23.08.2026 away Club Brugge 0:1
- 14.08.2026 home St Truiden 3:3
- 08.08.2026 away Standard 2:2
- 09.05.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 1:4
KAA Gent
4th place · 12 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 home Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1:0
- 30.08.2026 home Club Brugge 2:1
- 16.08.2026 away RAAL La Louviere 2:1
- 09.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:0
- 24.05.2026 away Club Brugge 0:5
This season: Cercle Brugge at home vs KAA Gent away
| Metric | Cercle Brugge · at home | KAA Gent · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.70 | 1.18 |
| xG against per match | 1.84 | 0.54 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.50 | 3.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.50 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 20.02.2026 KAA Gent 0:1 Cercle Brugge
- 28.09.2025 Cercle Brugge 2:4 KAA Gent
- 15.12.2024 KAA Gent 1:1 Cercle Brugge
- 26.09.2024 Cercle Brugge 2:1 KAA Gent
- 11.02.2024 KAA Gent 1:2 Cercle Brugge
- 22.10.2023 Cercle Brugge 2:0 KAA Gent
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Cercle Brugge and KAA Gent appear evenly matched ahead of their First Division A meeting. The available assessment points to a moderate level of confidence, with neither side holding a clear overall advantage. That suggests a contest likely to be decided by small details, particularly in how each team manages the transitions between defence and attack.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. A balanced draw remains a plausible scenario, although the wider signal gives KAA Gent some protection against defeat. The most representative scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 2:1, reflecting a match in which both sides should have opportunities but neither can be separated comfortably beforehand.
What matters before kick-off
Pro League Matchday 5 fixture
Cercle Brugge host KAA Gent at Jan Breydel Stadium on September 6, 2026, for matchday 5 of the Belgian Pro League.
Dante Vanzeir on loan at Cercle Brugge
Forward Dante Vanzeir plays for Cercle Brugge on loan from parent club KAA Gent.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.