St. Truidense VV — RAAL La Louviere: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.5% |
| 12 | 78.9% | |
| X2 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.1% / 18.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
St. Truidense VV meet RAAL La Louviere in First Division A with the hosts holding the clearer advantage according to the available assessment. The confidence is moderate rather than emphatic, so the match should be approached as one where St. Truidense VV have the stronger overall position, but where RAAL La Louviere remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The expected pattern is medium-scoring, with enough attacking potential for chances at both ends without pointing to an especially open game. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, which leaves several plausible paths through the match. A controlled home performance could lead to a 2:0 result, while 1:1 and 2:1 also reflect the uncertainty around RAAL La Louviere’s ability to respond. Overall, the analytical signal favours St. Truidense VV, but the moderate confidence suggests caution rather than an expectation of a straightforward home win.
What matters before kick-off
St. Truiden sign Kota Takai on loan
Sint-Truidense VV completed a season-long loan deal for 21-year-old Japanese central defender Kota Takai from Tottenham Hotspur.
Bert Verbeke appointed referee
The Royal Belgian FA appointed referee Bert Verbeke to officiate the matchday 5 fixture between St. Truidense VV and RAAL La Louviere.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.