St. Truidense VV — RAAL La Louviere: Win probabilities, 05.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 86.5% |
| 12 | 78.9% | |
| X2 | 34.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.3% / 5.7% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.1% / 18.9% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 35.6% / 64.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.7% / 81.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.5% / 91.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 05.09.2026
St. Truidense VV
11th place · 5 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 02.09.2026 home St. Gilloise 0:3
- 30.08.2026 away Antwerp 4:1
- 14.08.2026 away Cercle Brugge 3:3
- 08.08.2026 home Lommel SK 1:1
- 24.05.2026 home Mechelen 3:0
RAAL La Louviere
15th place · 1 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Mechelen 2:2
- 21.08.2026 away Standard 0:2
- 16.08.2026 home Gent 1:2
- 09.08.2026 away Anderlecht 1:2
- 09.05.2026 home Cercle Brugge 4:1
This season: St. Truidense VV at home vs RAAL La Louviere away
| Metric | St. Truidense VV · at home | RAAL La Louviere · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–1 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.42 | 0.91 |
| xG against per match | 2.00 | 2.10 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.50 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 24.01.2026 RAAL La Louviere 1:2 St. Truidense VV
- 17.08.2025 St. Truidense VV 2:1 RAAL La Louviere
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
St. Truidense VV meet RAAL La Louviere in First Division A with the hosts holding the clearer advantage according to the available assessment. The confidence is moderate rather than emphatic, so the match should be approached as one where St. Truidense VV have the stronger overall position, but where RAAL La Louviere remain capable of making the contest competitive.
The expected pattern is medium-scoring, with enough attacking potential for chances at both ends without pointing to an especially open game. Whether both teams score is finely balanced, which leaves several plausible paths through the match. A controlled home performance could lead to a 2:0 result, while 1:1 and 2:1 also reflect the uncertainty around RAAL La Louviere’s ability to respond. Overall, the analytical signal favours St. Truidense VV, but the moderate confidence suggests caution rather than an expectation of a straightforward home win.
What matters before kick-off
St. Truiden sign Kota Takai on loan
Sint-Truidense VV completed a season-long loan deal for 21-year-old Japanese central defender Kota Takai from Tottenham Hotspur.
Bert Verbeke appointed referee
The Royal Belgian FA appointed referee Bert Verbeke to officiate the matchday 5 fixture between St. Truidense VV and RAAL La Louviere.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.