KV Kortrijk — SV Zulte Waregem: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.5% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 70.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
KV Kortrijk
18th place · 0 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 away Anderlecht 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Charleroi 1:3
- 15.08.2026 home Antwerp 0:3
- 07.08.2026 away Club Brugge 0:3
- 10.05.2025 home St Truiden 2:2
SV Zulte Waregem
6th place · 8 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 30.08.2026 away Westerlo 2:2
- 22.08.2026 home Beveren 4:0
- 15.08.2026 away St. Gilloise 0:0
- 09.08.2026 home Genk 2:1
- 09.05.2026 home Dender 2:1
This season: KV Kortrijk at home vs SV Zulte Waregem away
| Metric | KV Kortrijk · at home | SV Zulte Waregem · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–2 | 0–2–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.99 | 1.24 |
| xG against per match | 1.44 | 1.53 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| Corners per match | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 24.02.2023 SV Zulte Waregem 3:3 KV Kortrijk
- 15.10.2022 KV Kortrijk 1:3 SV Zulte Waregem
- 19.02.2022 KV Kortrijk 5:0 SV Zulte Waregem
- 25.09.2021 SV Zulte Waregem 2:2 KV Kortrijk
- 27.02.2021 KV Kortrijk 1:2 SV Zulte Waregem
- 02.11.2020 SV Zulte Waregem 1:1 KV Kortrijk
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
KV Kortrijk welcome SV Zulte Waregem in a First Division A meeting that looks relatively balanced, although the visitors hold a slight edge. The moderate confidence suggests that this is not a one-sided contest, with the home side still carrying a credible threat. The available outlook points towards a medium-scoring match, so the game could develop through periods of pressure at both ends rather than being controlled by one team throughout.
Both teams are likely to score, which adds to the prospect of an open and competitive encounter. KV Kortrijk will need to manage SV Zulte Waregem’s attacking threat while making the most of their own opportunities, particularly if the visitors gain momentum. The main outcome signal favours SV Zulte Waregem avoiding defeat, with a draw also a realistic possibility. The projected scorelines of 1:1 and 1:2 reflect that balance, while 2:1 remains a possible alternative if KV Kortrijk convert their chances efficiently.
What matters before kick-off
KV Kortrijk recent league result
On September 3, 2026, KV Kortrijk played a rescheduled Belgian First Division A match against RSC Anderlecht, suffering a 1-0 defeat.
SV Zulte Waregem early-season form
SV Zulte Waregem entered the derby against KV Kortrijk unbeaten in their first four league matches of the season, recording two victories and two draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.