KV Kortrijk — SV Zulte Waregem: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.5% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 70.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 60.5% / 39.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.6% / 43.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.2% / 65.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.7% / 82.3% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.9% / 92.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
KV Kortrijk welcome SV Zulte Waregem in a First Division A meeting that looks relatively balanced, although the visitors hold a slight edge. The moderate confidence suggests that this is not a one-sided contest, with the home side still carrying a credible threat. The available outlook points towards a medium-scoring match, so the game could develop through periods of pressure at both ends rather than being controlled by one team throughout.
Both teams are likely to score, which adds to the prospect of an open and competitive encounter. KV Kortrijk will need to manage SV Zulte Waregem’s attacking threat while making the most of their own opportunities, particularly if the visitors gain momentum. The main outcome signal favours SV Zulte Waregem avoiding defeat, with a draw also a realistic possibility. The projected scorelines of 1:1 and 1:2 reflect that balance, while 2:1 remains a possible alternative if KV Kortrijk convert their chances efficiently.
What matters before kick-off
KV Kortrijk recent league result
On September 3, 2026, KV Kortrijk played a rescheduled Belgian First Division A match against RSC Anderlecht, suffering a 1-0 defeat.
SV Zulte Waregem early-season form
SV Zulte Waregem entered the derby against KV Kortrijk unbeaten in their first four league matches of the season, recording two victories and two draws.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.