SK Beveren — Oud-Heverlee Leuven: Win probabilities, 06.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.4% |
| 12 | 73.3% | |
| X2 | 57.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.9% / 35.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 84.5% / 15.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.8% / 38.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.5% / 60.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.8% / 78.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.4% / 89.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 06.09.2026
SK Beveren
13th place · 3 pts after 4Last 4 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 away Genk 0:4
- 22.08.2026 away Waregem 0:4
- 16.08.2026 home Anderlecht 1:0
- 09.08.2026 away Antwerp 1:2
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
17th place · 0 pts after 4Last 5 matches · latest first
- 03.09.2026 away Gent 0:1
- 29.08.2026 home Standard 1:2
- 15.08.2026 home Club Brugge 0:3
- 09.08.2026 away Charleroi 1:3
- 23.05.2026 home Genk 0:2
This season: SK Beveren at home vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven away
| Metric | SK Beveren · at home | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.64 | 0.91 |
| xG against per match | 1.27 | 2.06 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
SK Beveren have a slight edge over Oud-Heverlee Leuven in this First Division A meeting, although the moderate confidence level points to a competitive contest rather than a one-sided affair. The home side may be better placed to take control, particularly with home advantage, but the available signals do not suggest a wide gap between the teams.
The match is expected to have an open scoring pattern, with both SK Beveren and Oud-Heverlee Leuven likely to find the net. That makes a cautious approach difficult to sustain for the full game and leaves room for the balance to shift after the opening goal. Overall, the outlook favours SK Beveren against defeat, while a draw remains a credible outcome if Oud-Heverlee Leuven can match the hosts’ attacking threat. Expect an active match with chances at both ends rather than a tightly closed encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Oud-Heverlee Leuven's tough start to the season
Oud-Heverlee Leuven suffered a 1-0 defeat against KAA Gent on Thursday, September 3, 2026, marking their fourth consecutive league loss to open the season.
SK Beveren's unbeaten home streak
SK Beveren enter the fixture against Oud-Heverlee Leuven holding a 490-day unbeaten streak in competitive home matches at the Freethielstadion.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.