Wrexham AFC — West Bromwich Albion: Win probabilities, 13.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.3%
Home win
Wrexham AFC
X
28.6%
Draw
W2
29.1%
Away win
West Bromwich Albion
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1271.4%
Both teams to score
Yes55.7%
Totals 2.5
Over50.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 70.9% |
| 12 | 71.4% | |
| X2 | 57.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.7% / 44.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.7% / 8.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.5% / 23.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.4% / 71.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.5% / 86.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.6% / 94.4% |
Goal distribution model
Wrexham AFC × West Bromwich Albion
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
8.3%
0:1
6.6%
0:2
4.9%
0:3
2.0%
0:4
0.6%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
8.6%
1:1
13.7%
1:2
7.3%
1:3
2.9%
1:4
0.9%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.5%
2:1
9.0%
2:2
5.4%
2:3
2.2%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.7%
3:1
4.5%
3:2
2.7%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.4%
4:1
1.7%
4:2
1.0%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:113.7%
2:19.0%
1:08.6%
0:08.3%
2:07.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.10.2026
Wrexham AFC
14th place · 10 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Southampton 2:1
- 11.09.2026 away West Ham 0:6
- 08.09.2026 home Burnley 1:1
- 05.09.2026 away Swansea 0:0
- 02.09.2026 away Millwall 3:0
West Bromwich Albion
6th place · 14 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Wolves 0:1
- 12.09.2026 home QPR 1:1
- 09.09.2026 away Derby 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Watford 1:0
- 02.09.2026 home Charlton 1:1
This season: Wrexham AFC at home vs West Bromwich Albion away
| Metric | Wrexham AFC · at home | West Bromwich Albion · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 1–2–1 | 2–0–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.31 | 0.98 |
| xG against per match | 1.47 | 2.17 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Corners per match | 4.75 | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
Wrexham AFC wins0
Draws1
West Bromwich Albion wins1
Goals per match4.50
Both teams scored2/2
Over 2.5 goals2/2
- 03.04.2026 West Bromwich Albion 2:2 Wrexham AFC
- 16.08.2025 Wrexham AFC 2:3 West Bromwich Albion
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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