Wolverhampton Wanderers — Bolton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 13.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
69.4%
Home win
Wolverhampton Wanderers
X
19.5%
Draw
W2
11.2%
Away win
Bolton Wanderers
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X88.8%
Both teams to score
Yes53.2%
Totals 2.5
Over62.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 88.8% |
| 12 | 80.5% | |
| X2 | 30.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.9% / 5.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.9% / 16.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 62.0% / 38.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.7% / 60.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.9% / 78.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.5% / 89.5% |
Goal distribution model
Wolverhampton Wanderers × Bolton Wanderers
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
5.1%
0:1
2.5%
0:2
1.5%
0:3
0.4%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
8.5%
1:1
9.2%
1:2
3.5%
1:3
1.0%
1:4
0.2%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
11.1%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
4.1%
2:3
1.2%
2:4
0.3%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
8.7%
3:1
7.5%
3:2
3.2%
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
5.1%
4:1
4.4%
4:2
1.9%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
2.4%
5:1
2.0%
5:2
0.9%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:011.1%
2:19.6%
1:19.2%
3:08.7%
1:08.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 13.10.2026
Wolverhampton Wanderers
5th place · 14 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home West Brom 1:0
- 13.09.2026 away Sheffield United 1:0
- 06.09.2026 away Birmingham 2:2
- 01.09.2026 away West Ham 2:4
- 29.08.2026 home Stoke 4:1
Bolton Wanderers
15th place · 10 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Norwich 4:3
- 12.09.2026 home Cardiff 1:0
- 08.09.2026 home West Ham 2:3
- 05.09.2026 away Millwall 0:4
- 01.09.2026 away Sheffield United 2:3
This season: Wolverhampton Wanderers at home vs Bolton Wanderers away
| Metric | Wolverhampton Wanderers · at home | Bolton Wanderers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 1–1–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 2.19 | 1.09 |
| xG against per match | 0.67 | 1.84 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.67 | 3.75 |
| Corners per match | 6.67 | 4.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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