Wolverhampton Wanderers — Cardiff City: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
59.4%
Home win
Wolverhampton Wanderers
X
22.2%
Draw
W2
18.4%
Away win
Cardiff City
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X81.6%
Both teams to score
Yes64.6%
Totals 2.5
Over67.7%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.6% |
| 12 | 77.8% | |
| X2 | 40.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 64.6% / 35.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.6% / 4.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.6% / 12.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 67.7% / 32.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 46.0% / 54.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 27.2% / 72.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 14.1% / 85.9% |
Goal distribution model
Wolverhampton Wanderers × Cardiff City
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
4.4%
0:1
2.4%
0:2
2.3%
0:3
0.9%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
5.6%
1:1
9.8%
1:2
5.2%
1:3
2.1%
1:4
0.6%
1:5
0.2%
2
2:0
7.8%
2:1
9.6%
2:2
5.9%
2:3
2.4%
2:4
0.7%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
5.9%
3:1
7.2%
3:2
4.4%
3:3
1.8%
3:4
0.6%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
3.3%
4:1
4.1%
4:2
2.5%
4:3
1.0%
4:4
0.3%
4:5
0.1%
5
5:0
1.5%
5:1
1.8%
5:2
1.1%
5:3
0.5%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:19.8%
2:19.6%
2:07.8%
3:17.2%
3:05.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Wolverhampton Wanderers
5th place · 21 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Watford 1:0
- 20.10.2026 home Portsmouth 1:1
- 16.10.2026 away Burnley 2:1
- 13.10.2026 home Bolton 1:3
- 10.10.2026 away Middlesbrough 0:1
Cardiff City
16th place · 14 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Birmingham 1:0
- 17.10.2026 away Middlesbrough 2:2
- 13.10.2026 home Watford 5:1
- 10.10.2026 away Blackburn 1:2
- 19.09.2026 home Charlton 3:1
This season: Wolverhampton Wanderers at home vs Cardiff City away
| Metric | Wolverhampton Wanderers · at home | Cardiff City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| W–D–L | 3–2–1 | 0–2–4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| xG for per match | 1.94 | 1.27 |
| xG against per match | 0.75 | 2.02 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.17 | 4.83 |
| Corners per match | 8.17 | 6.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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