Middlesbrough FC — Charlton Athletic: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
77.7%
Home win
Middlesbrough FC
X
14.5%
Draw
W2
7.8%
Away win
Charlton Athletic
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X92.2%
Both teams to score
Yes52.6%
Totals 2.5
Over69.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 92.2% |
| 12 | 85.5% | |
| X2 | 22.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 96.7% / 3.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 87.7% / 12.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 69.4% / 30.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 48.1% / 51.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 29.0% / 71.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 15.3% / 84.7% |
Goal distribution model
Middlesbrough FC × Charlton Athletic
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
3.3%
0:1
1.8%
0:2
0.9%
0:3
0.2%
0:4
0.1%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
7.2%
1:1
6.7%
1:2
2.5%
1:3
0.7%
1:4
0.1%
1:5
0.0%
2
2:0
10.7%
2:1
8.7%
2:2
3.5%
2:3
1.0%
2:4
0.2%
2:5
0.0%
3
3:0
9.9%
3:1
8.0%
3:2
3.2%
3:3
0.9%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
6.8%
4:1
5.5%
4:2
2.2%
4:3
0.6%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
3.8%
5:1
3.1%
5:2
1.2%
5:3
0.3%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
2:010.7%
3:09.9%
2:18.7%
3:18.0%
1:07.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Middlesbrough FC
1st place · 25 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 23.10.2026 away Bolton 5:1
- 17.10.2026 home Cardiff 2:2
- 13.10.2026 away Stoke 3:2
- 10.10.2026 home Wolves 1:0
- 19.09.2026 away Birmingham 2:2
Charlton Athletic
19th place · 14 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Norwich 1:3
- 17.10.2026 away Watford 0:2
- 13.10.2026 away Burnley 2:2
- 10.10.2026 home Bristol City 1:1
- 19.09.2026 away Cardiff 1:3
This season: Middlesbrough FC at home vs Charlton Athletic away
| Metric | Middlesbrough FC · at home | Charlton Athletic · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| W–D–L | 4–2–0 | 1–2–3 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.50 | 2.17 |
| xG for per match | 1.99 | 1.05 |
| xG against per match | 1.14 | 2.00 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.33 | 3.33 |
| Corners per match | 7.33 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
Middlesbrough FC wins3
Draws0
Charlton Athletic wins1
Goals per match1.50
Both teams scored1/4
Over 2.5 goals1/4
- 11.03.2026 Middlesbrough FC 0:1 Charlton Athletic
- 09.12.2025 Charlton Athletic 1:2 Middlesbrough FC
- 07.03.2020 Charlton Athletic 0:1 Middlesbrough FC
- 07.12.2019 Middlesbrough FC 1:0 Charlton Athletic
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W1 | was 1.30 → now 1.25 |
| X | was 5.30 → now 5.50 |
| W2 | was 8.50 → now 9.50 |
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