Swansea City — Blackburn Rovers: Win probabilities, 31.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
55.5%
Home win
Swansea City
X
25.7%
Draw
W2
18.8%
Away win
Blackburn Rovers
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X81.2%
Both teams to score
Yes53.7%
Totals 2.5
Over52.9%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.2% |
| 12 | 74.3% | |
| X2 | 44.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.7% / 46.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.5% / 7.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.2% / 21.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.7% / 69.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.1% / 84.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Goal distribution model
Swansea City × Blackburn Rovers
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.5%
0:1
4.6%
0:2
2.9%
0:3
1.0%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.7%
1:1
12.3%
1:2
5.3%
1:3
1.7%
1:4
0.4%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
10.0%
2:1
9.9%
2:2
4.8%
2:3
1.6%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
6.1%
3:1
6.0%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
2.7%
4:1
2.7%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.0%
5:1
1.0%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.3%
2:010.0%
2:19.9%
1:09.7%
0:07.5%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 31.10.2026
Swansea City
3rd place · 23 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 away QPR 0:5
- 17.10.2026 home West Ham 0:1
- 13.10.2026 away Millwall 1:0
- 10.10.2026 home Norwich 2:1
- 19.09.2026 away Lincoln 2:1
Blackburn Rovers
10th place · 18 pts after 12Last 5 matches · latest first
- 24.10.2026 home Wrexham 2:0
- 17.10.2026 away West Brom 2:3
- 13.10.2026 away Bristol City 1:0
- 10.10.2026 home Cardiff 2:1
- 19.09.2026 away Portsmouth 2:2
This season: Swansea City at home vs Blackburn Rovers away
| Metric | Swansea City · at home | Blackburn Rovers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| W–D–L | 3–2–1 | 1–3–2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.68 | 0.63 |
| xG against per match | 1.09 | 2.22 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| Corners per match | 4.67 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Swansea City wins5
Draws0
Blackburn Rovers wins1
Goals per match2.50
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals4/6
- 20.01.2026 Swansea City 3:1 Blackburn Rovers
- 30.09.2025 Blackburn Rovers 1:2 Swansea City
- 22.02.2025 Swansea City 3:0 Blackburn Rovers
- 19.10.2024 Blackburn Rovers 1:0 Swansea City
- 02.03.2024 Swansea City 2:1 Blackburn Rovers
- 28.10.2023 Blackburn Rovers 0:1 Swansea City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Odds movement
| W2 | was 4.33 → now 4.50 |
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