Match intelligence

WKW ETO FC Gyor — Atert Bissen: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026

League: UEFA Conference League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
X1 80.9% Home win WKW ETO FC Gyor
X 13.0% Draw
X2 6.1% Away win Atert Bissen
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X93.9%
Both teams to score
No53.9%
Totals 2.5
Over67.0%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X93.9%
1287.0%
X219.1%
Both teams to scoreYes/No46.1% / 53.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 96.6% / 3.4%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 86.1% / 13.9%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 67.0% / 33.0%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 45.2% / 54.8%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 26.5% / 73.5%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 13.6% / 86.4%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

WKW ETO FC Gyor × Atert Bissen
HomeAway
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 3.4%
0:1 1.9%
0:2 0.7%
0:3 0.2%
0:4 0.0%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 8.6%
1:1 6.2%
1:2 2.0%
1:3 0.4%
1:4 0.1%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 12.3%
2:1 8.2%
2:2 2.8%
2:3 0.6%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 11.4%
3:1 7.6%
3:2 2.6%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 7.9%
4:1 5.3%
4:2 1.8%
4:3 0.4%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 4.4%
5:1 2.9%
5:2 1.0%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:012.3%
3:011.4%
1:08.6%
2:18.2%
4:07.9%

Odds movement

X was 5.25 → now 5.75
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

WKW ETO FC Gyor enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie as the clearly stronger side against Atert Bissen. The assessment gives the hosts a high-confidence advantage, with the expected match profile pointing toward an open contest and several goals rather than a tightly controlled, low-scoring game. That combination makes WKW ETO FC Gyor the more convincing team in the overall outcome assessment.

Atert Bissen still have a route into the game, particularly if they can contribute in attack, but the outlook on both teams scoring is balanced rather than decisive. The most plausible scorelines favour WKW ETO FC Gyor, with a controlled win by two or three goals standing out, while a narrower victory is also considered possible. The central question is whether Atert Bissen can make their attacking moments count before the hosts establish control.

Other matches

→ UEFA Conference League, Qualification

About the method

Prediction questions

We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.

Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.

The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.

AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.

18+ All materials are informational and do not guarantee any outcome. Predictions are produced by an automated model; the method is described on the Method page. Responsible gambling