Match intelligence

WKW ETO FC Gyor — Atert Bissen: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026

League: UEFA Conference League, Qualification · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
WKW ETO FC Gyor1
:
1Atert Bissen
Locked signal W1 Probability 82.1% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 82.1% Home win WKW ETO FC Gyor
X 12.0% Draw
W2 5.9% Away win Atert Bissen
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X94.1%
Both teams to score
No51.9%
Totals 2.5
Over70.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X94.1%
1288.0%
X217.9%
Both teams to scoreYes/No48.1% / 51.9%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 97.2% / 2.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 88.0% / 12.0%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 70.4% / 29.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 49.3% / 50.7%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 30.1% / 69.9%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 16.1% / 83.9%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

WKW ETO FC Gyor × Atert Bissen
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 2.8%
0:1 1.6%
0:2 0.7%
0:3 0.2%
0:4 0.0%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 7.5%
1:1 5.6%
1:2 1.9%
1:3 0.4%
1:4 0.1%
1:5 0.0%
2
2:0 11.3%
2:1 8.0%
2:2 2.8%
2:3 0.7%
2:4 0.1%
2:5 0.0%
3
3:0 11.1%
3:1 7.8%
3:2 2.7%
3:3 0.6%
3:4 0.1%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 8.1%
4:1 5.7%
4:2 2.0%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 4.8%
5:1 3.4%
5:2 1.2%
5:3 0.3%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
2:011.3%
3:011.1%
4:08.1%
2:18.0%
3:17.8%
✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

WKW ETO FC Gyor go into this UEFA Conference League qualification tie as the clearly stronger side, with a high-confidence assessment favouring the hosts. The available outlook points towards an attacking match rather than a cautious contest, and WKW ETO FC Gyor are expected to create the more sustained pressure and carry the greater threat in the final third. A home victory is the central expectation, although the match should still be approached as a competitive qualification fixture rather than a foregone conclusion.

A high-scoring game is considered likely, but the evidence does not establish a clear direction on whether both teams will find the net. That makes the visitors' contribution an important variable: Atert Bissen may need to defend compactly and limit the hosts' opportunities, while looking for moments in transition. Overall, the balance of the preview remains firmly with WKW ETO FC Gyor, with the main uncertainty concerning the margin of victory and whether Atert Bissen can add to the scoreline.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

First-leg result

In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round, Hungarian side ETO FC Gyor defeated Luxembourg's Atert Bissen 6-2 away from home.

Schedule

Recent domestic result for ETO FC Gyor

Ahead of the Conference League second leg, ETO FC Gyor drew 2-2 against Vasas in the Hungarian top flight.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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