FC Nordsjaelland — GAIS: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.9% |
| 12 | 82.9% | |
| X2 | 34.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.4% / 45.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 97.0% / 3.0% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 81.3% / 18.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 61.4% / 38.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 39.1% / 60.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 21.4% / 78.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 10.2% / 89.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FC Nordsjaelland go into this UEFA Conference League qualification tie with a moderate but meaningful advantage over GAIS. The available assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, although the gap is not large enough to remove all uncertainty. That suggests FC Nordsjaelland should take the initiative, particularly through sustained possession and pressure, while GAIS may focus on staying compact and looking for opportunities when the home side commits players forward.
The match is expected to be medium-scoring, with a narrow home win appearing more plausible than a one-sided result. Both teams scoring remains difficult to call, so the contest could develop either into a controlled FC Nordsjaelland performance or a more open game if GAIS find an early response. Overall, the balance favours FC Nordsjaelland, but the moderate confidence level indicates that GAIS retain a realistic chance of making the tie competitive.
What matters before kick-off
First leg qualifying result
In the first leg of the UEFA Conference League second qualifying round, Swedish side GAIS secured a 1-0 home victory over Denmark's FC Nordsjaelland.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.