FK Velez Mostar — DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 56.1% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 71.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.9% / 50.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.2% / 8.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 71.0% / 29.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 44.9% / 55.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 23.6% / 76.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 10.5% / 89.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.0% / 96.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
FK Velez Mostar host DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda in a UEFA Conference League qualification tie that appears finely balanced but with a slight edge for the visitors. The available assessment points towards a medium-scoring match, suggesting enough attacking threat on both sides without indicating an open, high-tempo contest throughout. DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda are rated more likely to avoid defeat, while the overall gap between the teams remains limited.
The possibility of both teams scoring is difficult to separate, so the match could develop in several ways. A controlled away performance could see DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda take a narrow lead, while FK Velez Mostar should remain capable of creating a response, particularly with home advantage. The most plausible scorelines include 1:1, 0:1 and 1:2, which reflects a contest where small details may decide the outcome. Overall, the visitors hold the clearer analytical advantage, but a draw remains a credible scenario.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg result
DAC 1904 Dunajska Streda secured a 1-0 victory against FK Velez Mostar in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.