HB Torshavn — Motherwell FC: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 38.0% |
| 12 | 79.4% | |
| X2 | 82.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 49.9% / 50.1% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.5% / 5.5% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.6% / 23.4% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 31.1% / 68.9% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.4% / 84.6% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.6% / 93.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
Motherwell FC have a clear edge over HB Torshavn in this UEFA Conference League qualification tie, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the difference should not be overstated. The outlook points towards an away-sided contest, with Motherwell FC better placed to control the match and create the more decisive moments.
The scoring expectation is medium, while both teams scoring remains finely balanced. That leaves room for more than one match pattern: Motherwell FC could win without conceding, but HB Torshavn may also find a way onto the scoresheet. The most plausible scorelines are 0:1 and 0:2, with 1:1 representing a credible alternative if HB Torshavn resist the visitors' pressure effectively.
What matters before kick-off
First leg result
Motherwell secured a 2-0 victory against HB Torshavn at home in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.