SK Brann — FC Universitatea Cluj: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 87.8% |
| 12 | 81.4% | |
| X2 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.1% / 43.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.8% / 4.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 85.4% / 14.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 65.0% / 35.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 43.0% / 57.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.6% / 75.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.3% / 87.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
SK Brann enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie with a clear but measured advantage over FC Universitatea Cluj. The assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, although confidence is moderate rather than emphatic. That suggests SK Brann should control more of the match and create the better opportunities, while FC Universitatea Cluj will need to remain disciplined and make efficient use of its attacking moments.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with 2:0, 1:0 and 3:0 identified as the most likely scorelines. This places the emphasis on SK Brann’s ability to turn territorial or chance-creation superiority into an early lead. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so FC Universitatea Cluj cannot be ruled out as an attacking threat, but the overall balance still favours the home side. A controlled SK Brann victory appears more consistent with the available signals than an open, evenly matched contest.
What matters before kick-off
First-leg draw
FC Universitatea Cluj and SK Brann played out a 2-2 draw in the first leg of their UEFA Conference League second qualifying round tie on 23 July 2026. Brann held a 2-0 lead before late goals from Jovo Lukić and Pedro Pinho restored parity for U Cluj.
Potential third-round opponent
The winner of the tie between SK Brann and FC Universitatea Cluj will advance to face Cypriot side Apollon Limassol in the third qualifying round of the UEFA Conference League.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.