SK Brann — FC Universitatea Cluj: Win probabilities, 30.07.2026
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 88.3% |
| 12 | 80.7% | |
| X2 | 30.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.1% / 5.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.2% / 21.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.4% / 67.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.3% / 83.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.1% / 92.9% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Odds movement
| X2 | was 7.00 → now 6.50 |
Match preview
SK Brann enter this UEFA Conference League qualifying tie with a clear but measured advantage over FC Universitatea Cluj. The assessment points to the hosts being clearly stronger, although confidence is moderate rather than emphatic. That suggests SK Brann should control more of the match and create the better opportunities, while FC Universitatea Cluj will need to remain disciplined and make efficient use of its attacking moments.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, with 2:0, 1:0 and 3:0 identified as the most likely scorelines. This places the emphasis on SK Brann’s ability to turn territorial or chance-creation superiority into an early lead. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, so FC Universitatea Cluj cannot be ruled out as an attacking threat, but the overall balance still favours the home side. A controlled SK Brann victory appears more consistent with the available signals than an open, evenly matched contest.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.