West Ham United — Wolverhampton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.6% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.6% / 36.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.4% / 16.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.5% / 61.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.9% / 79.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.9% / 90.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
West Ham United have a slight edge over Wolverhampton Wanderers in this Championship meeting, with the assessment carrying a high level of confidence. That advantage is not presented as a decisive gap, however, and the matchup still points towards a competitive contest in which Wolverhampton Wanderers should have opportunities to contribute.
The expected pattern is an open, high-scoring game, with both West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers likely to find the net. The range of likely scorelines includes a draw as well as narrow victories for either side, which underlines the competitive nature of the fixture despite the home advantage. Overall, the balance leans towards West Ham United avoiding defeat, while the scoring outlook suggests a match with sustained attacking exchanges rather than a cautious, low-event encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Team Availability News
West Ham United midfielder Tomas Soucek continues to miss out due to an ankle ligament injury. Wolverhampton Wanderers remain without Kieran Trippier, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, Yerson Mosquera, and Rafiki Said.
Recent Results and Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers enter the match on the back of three consecutive wins in all competitions, having defeated Stoke City 4-1 on Saturday. West Ham United are seeking their first Championship victory of the campaign after drawing 1-1 with Watford.
Former Captain Reunion
West Ham United defender Max Kilman faces his former club, having previously served as team captain for Wolverhampton Wanderers.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.