West Ham United — Wolverhampton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.6% |
| 12 | 74.0% | |
| X2 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 63.6% / 36.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 94.4% / 5.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 83.4% / 16.6% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 60.8% / 39.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 38.5% / 61.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 20.9% / 79.1% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 9.9% / 90.1% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.09.2026
West Ham United
19th place · 2 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Watford 1:1
- 22.08.2026 home Charlton 1:2
- 16.08.2026 away Burnley 2:2
- 24.05.2026 home Leeds 3:0
- 17.05.2026 away Newcastle 1:3
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2nd place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Stoke 4:1
- 22.08.2026 away Preston 3:1
- 14.08.2026 home Blackburn 2:2
- 24.05.2026 away Burnley 1:1
- 17.05.2026 home Fulham 1:1
This season: West Ham United at home vs Wolverhampton Wanderers away
| Metric | West Ham United · at home | Wolverhampton Wanderers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 1–0–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.84 | 1.54 |
| xG against per match | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| Shots on target per match | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 10.04.2026 West Ham United 4:0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 03.01.2026 Wolverhampton Wanderers 3:0 West Ham United
- 01.04.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:0 West Ham United
- 09.12.2024 West Ham United 2:1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- 06.04.2024 Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:2 West Ham United
- 17.12.2023 West Ham United 3:0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
West Ham United have a slight edge over Wolverhampton Wanderers in this Championship meeting, with the assessment carrying a high level of confidence. That advantage is not presented as a decisive gap, however, and the matchup still points towards a competitive contest in which Wolverhampton Wanderers should have opportunities to contribute.
The expected pattern is an open, high-scoring game, with both West Ham United and Wolverhampton Wanderers likely to find the net. The range of likely scorelines includes a draw as well as narrow victories for either side, which underlines the competitive nature of the fixture despite the home advantage. Overall, the balance leans towards West Ham United avoiding defeat, while the scoring outlook suggests a match with sustained attacking exchanges rather than a cautious, low-event encounter.
What matters before kick-off
Team Availability News
West Ham United midfielder Tomas Soucek continues to miss out due to an ankle ligament injury. Wolverhampton Wanderers remain without Kieran Trippier, Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, Yerson Mosquera, and Rafiki Said.
Recent Results and Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers enter the match on the back of three consecutive wins in all competitions, having defeated Stoke City 4-1 on Saturday. West Ham United are seeking their first Championship victory of the campaign after drawing 1-1 with Watford.
Former Captain Reunion
West Ham United defender Max Kilman faces his former club, having previously served as team captain for Wolverhampton Wanderers.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.