Stoke City — Norwich City: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 55.6% |
| 12 | 72.7% | |
| X2 | 71.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.1% / 42.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.0% / 22.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.7% / 69.3% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.1% / 84.9% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.09.2026
Stoke City
24th place · 0 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Wolves 1:4
- 22.08.2026 away Southampton 1:3
- 15.08.2026 home Swansea 1:2
- 02.05.2026 away Bristol City 0:2
- 25.04.2026 home Portsmouth 1:3
Norwich City
16th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Burnley 4:1
- 22.08.2026 away Millwall 0:3
- 15.08.2026 home West Brom 1:2
- 02.05.2026 away Hull 1:2
- 25.04.2026 home Swansea 1:1
This season: Stoke City at home vs Norwich City away
| Metric | Stoke City · at home | Norwich City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.65 | 1.02 |
| xG against per match | 0.62 | 2.70 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.01.2026 Norwich City 0:2 Stoke City
- 27.09.2025 Stoke City 1:1 Norwich City
- 22.02.2025 Norwich City 4:2 Stoke City
- 19.10.2024 Stoke City 1:1 Norwich City
- 16.03.2024 Stoke City 0:3 Norwich City
- 16.09.2023 Norwich City 1:0 Stoke City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Stoke City welcome Norwich City in a Championship fixture where the assessment gives the visitors a slight edge. Norwich City are rated more favourably in the overall result outlook, although the gap is not presented as decisive. The signal points towards avoiding a Stoke City defeat, with the away side holding the stronger position in a closely contested match.
The game is expected to produce a moderate level of scoring, and both Stoke City and Norwich City are considered likely to find the net. That makes a narrow Norwich City win or a draw the main possibilities rather than a one-sided contest. The most likely scorelines are 1:1, 1:2 and 0:2, reflecting a match in which Stoke City should have opportunities but Norwich City may be better placed to turn those chances into a favourable result.
What matters before kick-off
Championship Fixture
Stoke City host Norwich City on Tuesday, September 1, 2026, at the bet365 Stadium in the EFL Championship.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.