Preston North End — Bristol City: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 59.7% |
| 12 | 72.8% | |
| X2 | 67.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.6% / 42.4% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.9% / 7.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.9% / 22.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.8% / 69.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.2% / 84.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.5% / 93.5% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.09.2026
Preston North End
23rd place · 0 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Charlton 0:1
- 22.08.2026 home Wolves 1:3
- 15.08.2026 away Bolton 1:2
- 02.05.2026 home Southampton 1:3
- 25.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:2
Bristol City
13th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Portsmouth 2:1
- 22.08.2026 away Birmingham 2:2
- 15.08.2026 home Millwall 0:2
- 02.05.2026 home Stoke 2:0
- 25.04.2026 away Birmingham 1:2
This season: Preston North End at home vs Bristol City away
| Metric | Preston North End · at home | Bristol City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.66 | 1.42 |
| xG against per match | 1.54 | 1.97 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 04.01.2026 Bristol City 0:2 Preston North End
- 27.09.2025 Preston North End 0:0 Bristol City
- 03.05.2025 Bristol City 2:2 Preston North End
- 02.11.2024 Preston North End 1:3 Bristol City
- 13.01.2024 Preston North End 2:0 Bristol City
- 05.08.2023 Bristol City 1:1 Preston North End
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Preston North End and Bristol City look evenly matched ahead of their Championship meeting, with only moderate confidence in the overall assessment. Neither side has a clearly established advantage in the available information, so the contest may be shaped by small differences in efficiency and decision-making rather than a major gap in quality. The available signal leans toward Bristol City avoiding defeat, but that remains a tendency rather than a definitive prediction.
The match is assessed as potentially medium-scoring, with both teams scoring considered finely balanced. A 1:1 draw is one plausible scenario, while 1:2 and 0:1 also reflect the slight preference toward Bristol City in the broader outlook. Preston North End should still have a realistic route into the game, particularly if they can turn home advantage into sustained pressure, but Bristol City may be capable of keeping the contest close and taking something from it.
What matters before kick-off
Bristol City injury update
Michael Skubala confirmed that Bristol City came through their 2-1 victory over Portsmouth without fresh injury concerns, leaving Luke McNally as their only main injury absence heading into the match at Deepdale.
Preston North End form
Preston North End head into the match searching for their first points of the Championship season after opening the campaign with three consecutive league defeats.
Bristol City recent result
Bristol City secured their first win of the campaign last time out by defeating Portsmouth 2-1 at Ashton Gate thanks to goals from Lorent Tolaj and Jason Knight.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.