Lincoln City — Blackburn Rovers: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 67.2% |
| 12 | 72.5% | |
| X2 | 60.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.5% / 43.5% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.6% / 7.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.5% / 70.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.3% / 85.7% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.0% / 94.0% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.09.2026
Lincoln City
18th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Bolton 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home Portsmouth 1:3
- 15.08.2026 away Middlesbrough 1:2
- 02.05.2026 away Port Vale 2:0
- 25.04.2026 home Wycombe 4:3
Blackburn Rovers
11th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home QPR 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Middlesbrough 2:1
- 14.08.2026 away Wolves 2:2
- 02.05.2026 home Leicester 0:1
- 22.04.2026 away Sheffield United 3:1
This season: Lincoln City at home vs Blackburn Rovers away
| Metric | Lincoln City · at home | Blackburn Rovers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–0–1 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.33 | 0.84 |
| xG against per match | 1.21 | 1.97 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Lincoln City and Blackburn Rovers meet in a Championship contest that looks finely balanced. The available assessment gives neither side a clear overall advantage, pointing instead to an evenly matched game in which the hosts may have a slight degree of protection through the 1X signal. That suggests Lincoln City could avoid defeat, although the margin between the teams appears limited.
The match is projected to sit around a medium-scoring level, with 1:1, 2:1 and 1:0 among the most likely scorelines. This reflects a game where chances should emerge, but not necessarily in a consistently open pattern. Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, so the contest could develop either into a shared-scoring draw or a tighter match decided by a small number of key moments. With moderate confidence in the assessment, the central expectation is a competitive encounter rather than a clearly one-sided result.
What matters before kick-off
Mikkel Ladefoged available for Lincoln City
Danish striker Mikkel Ladefoged has received his work permit and international clearance, making him available on the bench for Lincoln City against Blackburn Rovers.
Recent form of Lincoln City
Lincoln City enter the match following back-to-back victories across competitions, including a 1-0 win away at Bolton Wanderers in the Championship.
Lincoln City's return to the second tier
Lincoln City earned promotion to the Championship after winning the League One title in 2025-26, returning to England's second tier for the first time since 1961.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.