Sheffield United — Bolton Wanderers: Win probabilities, 01.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 84.5% |
| 12 | 77.2% | |
| X2 | 38.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.1% / 45.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.8% / 6.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 80.9% / 19.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 34.9% / 65.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 18.2% / 81.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 8.2% / 91.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 01.09.2026
Sheffield United
15th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Cardiff 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Swansea 0:0
- 15.08.2026 home Birmingham 0:0
- 02.05.2026 away Derby 2:1
- 25.04.2026 home Preston 2:3
Bolton Wanderers
12th place · 4 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Lincoln 0:1
- 22.08.2026 away QPR 0:0
- 15.08.2026 home Preston 2:1
- 02.05.2026 home Luton 2:3
- 25.04.2026 away Bradford 1:1
This season: Sheffield United at home vs Bolton Wanderers away
| Metric | Sheffield United · at home | Bolton Wanderers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xG for per match | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| xG against per match | 0.76 | 1.81 |
| Shots on target per match | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Corners per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Sheffield United come into this Championship meeting with a clear but not overwhelming advantage over Bolton Wanderers. The available assessment points towards the home side as the stronger team, although the moderate confidence level suggests that the gap should not be overstated. Sheffield United’s home setting supports their position, while Bolton Wanderers remain capable of making the contest competitive if they manage the match effectively.
The game is projected to fall into a medium-scoring range, rather than being expected to develop into either a particularly open shootout or a tightly uneventful encounter. Both teams scoring remains difficult to separate, with the assessment treating that outcome as finely balanced. Sheffield United therefore appear better placed, but the match still carries enough uncertainty for Bolton Wanderers to stay involved, especially if they can contain the hosts early and create pressure of their own.
What matters before kick-off
Early season form
Sheffield United opened their Championship campaign with three consecutive draws, including a 2-2 result against Cardiff City. Bolton Wanderers suffered their first league defeat of the season in their last outing, falling 1-0 to Lincoln City.
Squad availability news
Sheffield United are expected to be without Tahith Chong and Ryan Oné due to muscle issues. Bolton Wanderers are missing forward Ruben Rodrigues, who is sidelined with a knee injury.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.