West Bromwich Albion — Queens Park Rangers: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.6% |
| 12 | 71.6% | |
| X2 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 57.3% / 42.7% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.1% / 7.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.2% / 21.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.8% / 85.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
West Bromwich Albion
2nd place · 13 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 away Derby 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Watford 1:0
- 02.09.2026 home Charlton 1:1
- 29.08.2026 away Middlesbrough 1:3
- 23.08.2026 home Burnley 3:1
Queens Park Rangers
5th place · 11 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 away Charlton 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Middlesbrough 0:1
- 02.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:1
- 29.08.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Bolton 0:0
This season: West Bromwich Albion at home vs Queens Park Rangers away
| Metric | West Bromwich Albion · at home | Queens Park Rangers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 2–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.67 | 1.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| xG for per match | 1.11 | 1.50 |
| xG against per match | 0.95 | 1.19 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| Corners per match | 5.33 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 29.12.2025 West Bromwich Albion 2:1 Queens Park Rangers
- 06.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers 3:1 West Bromwich Albion
- 08.03.2025 West Bromwich Albion 1:0 Queens Park Rangers
- 10.08.2024 Queens Park Rangers 1:3 West Bromwich Albion
- 06.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers 2:2 West Bromwich Albion
- 24.10.2023 West Bromwich Albion 2:0 Queens Park Rangers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
West Bromwich Albion have a slight but credible edge over Queens Park Rangers in this Championship meeting. The assessment points towards a competitive match in which the hosts are more likely to avoid defeat, though the margin between the teams is not expected to be substantial. West Bromwich Albion should look to impose enough control to create the clearer opportunities, while Queens Park Rangers remain capable of making the contest uncomfortable.
The game is projected to be medium-scoring, with both teams likely to find the net. That combination suggests an open but balanced encounter rather than a one-sided performance. A draw remains a realistic possibility, particularly if Queens Park Rangers manage to respond effectively when West Bromwich Albion take the initiative. Overall, the hosts hold the stronger position, but the match could remain finely balanced deep into the second half.
What matters before kick-off
Recent results for both teams
West Bromwich Albion enter the fixture following back-to-back 1-0 victories over Watford and Derby County. Queens Park Rangers played out a 0-0 draw away at Charlton Athletic in midweek.
West Brom's home record against QPR
West Bromwich Albion are on a seven-match unbeaten run at home against Queens Park Rangers (W5, D2). QPR's last victory at The Hawthorns was a 4-1 win in April 2015.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.