Blackburn Rovers — Millwall FC: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 64.7% |
| 12 | 70.5% | |
| X2 | 64.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 58.0% / 42.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.7% / 8.3% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 78.2% / 21.8% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 29.9% / 70.1% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.6% / 85.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.2% / 93.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Blackburn Rovers
18th place · 5 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.09.2026 home Sheffield United 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away Preston 1:2
- 01.09.2026 away Lincoln 0:0
- 29.08.2026 home QPR 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Middlesbrough 2:1
Millwall FC
9th place · 9 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Bolton 4:0
- 02.09.2026 home Wrexham 0:3
- 29.08.2026 away Southampton 1:5
- 22.08.2026 home Norwich 3:0
- 15.08.2026 away Bristol City 2:0
This season: Blackburn Rovers at home vs Millwall FC away
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers · at home | Millwall FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–2 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.15 | 2.25 |
| xG against per match | 1.14 | 1.87 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.00 | 8.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 14.03.2026 Millwall FC 1:2 Blackburn Rovers
- 20.12.2025 Blackburn Rovers 2:0 Millwall FC
- 18.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers 4:1 Millwall FC
- 21.12.2024 Millwall FC 1:0 Blackburn Rovers
- 05.03.2024 Blackburn Rovers 1:1 Millwall FC
- 24.10.2023 Millwall FC 1:2 Blackburn Rovers
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Blackburn Rovers and Millwall FC meet in the Championship in a contest that looks evenly matched. The available assessment gives neither side a clear advantage, with moderate confidence in that overall reading. That points towards a game where small moments may have a significant influence, rather than one likely to be controlled comfortably by either team.
The scoring outlook is medium-scoring, and both teams are considered likely to find the net. That makes an open enough match plausible, while still leaving room for a balanced result. The main indication is towards Blackburn Rovers avoiding defeat, but the narrow margin between the sides means Millwall FC remain capable of taking a positive result. A draw is also consistent with the assessment, particularly if both teams convert their chances without establishing sustained control.
What matters before kick-off
Recent team results
On Tuesday, September 8, Blackburn Rovers suffered a 2-1 home defeat against Sheffield United in the Championship, extending their winless streak in all competitions to five matches.
Blackburn's attacking injury concerns
Blackburn Rovers face selection issues in attack ahead of the match, with forwards Mathias Jorgensen, Augustus Kargbo, and Yuki Ohashi all sidelined due to injury.
Suspension for Millwall
Millwall midfielder Jenson Metcalfe is unavailable for the match against Blackburn Rovers due to suspension.
Blackburn's strong head-to-head record
Blackburn Rovers have won their last three head-to-head encounters against Millwall, including a 2-0 victory in last season's home fixture.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.