Charlton Athletic — Portsmouth FC: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 65.1% |
| 12 | 69.8% | |
| X2 | 65.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.1% / 45.9% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 90.6% / 9.4% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 74.5% / 25.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 25.8% / 74.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 11.8% / 88.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 4.7% / 95.3% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Charlton Athletic
6th place · 11 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 09.09.2026 home QPR 0:0
- 05.09.2026 away Stoke 0:4
- 02.09.2026 away West Brom 1:1
- 29.08.2026 home Preston 1:0
- 22.08.2026 away West Ham 2:1
Portsmouth FC
17th place · 6 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:0
- 01.09.2026 home Derby 0:2
- 29.08.2026 away Bristol City 1:2
- 22.08.2026 away Lincoln 3:1
- 15.08.2026 home QPR 1:3
This season: Charlton Athletic at home vs Portsmouth FC away
| Metric | Charlton Athletic · at home | Portsmouth FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 2–1–0 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.33 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 0.77 | 1.29 |
| xG against per match | 1.00 | 1.47 |
| Shots on target per match | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Corners per match | 5.67 | 6.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 17.02.2026 Charlton Athletic 1:3 Portsmouth FC
- 29.12.2025 Portsmouth FC 2:1 Charlton Athletic
- 24.02.2024 Charlton Athletic 0:0 Portsmouth FC
- 11.11.2023 Portsmouth FC 2:2 Charlton Athletic
- 01.01.2023 Portsmouth FC 1:3 Charlton Athletic
- 17.10.2022 Charlton Athletic 3:0 Portsmouth FC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Charlton Athletic and Portsmouth FC meet in the Championship on 12 September 2026 in a contest that appears evenly matched. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear overall advantage, with the outcome carrying moderate confidence. That points to a game where small details and the balance between defensive discipline and attacking initiative may have a meaningful influence.
The scoring outlook is medium, while the prospect of both teams finding the net remains uncertain. The most prominent scoreline is 1:1, with 0:0 and 1:0 also identified among the likely outcomes, reinforcing the expectation of a relatively close match rather than an open, high-scoring encounter. Charlton Athletic may have a slight protective edge from playing at home, but Portsmouth FC are assessed as capable of keeping the contest balanced.
What matters before kick-off
Charlton Athletic Team News
Danny McNamara and Millenic Alli returned to Charlton Athletic's starting line-up against Portsmouth. Charlie Kelman was named on the bench for the first time this season after recovering from a shoulder injury, while Micah Mbick missed out due to a hamstring injury.
Portsmouth FC Injury News
Portsmouth's Luke Brooke-Smith was ruled out long-term after suffering a dislocated ankle and fibula fracture in training. He joins Josh Murphy, Connor Ogilvie, Keshi Anderson, Márk Kosznovszky, Franco Umeh and Thomas Waddingham on the sidelines.
Historical Opponents Fact
Since entering the Football League in 1920, Portsmouth FC have faced Charlton Athletic more times than any other opponent.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.