Preston North End — Lincoln City: Win probabilities, 12.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 68.8% |
| 12 | 72.6% | |
| X2 | 58.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 59.4% / 40.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.7% / 20.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 32.8% / 67.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.6% / 83.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.3% / 92.7% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 12.09.2026
Preston North End
24th place · 3 pts after 6Last 5 matches · latest first
- 08.09.2026 away Watford 1:2
- 05.09.2026 home Blackburn 2:1
- 01.09.2026 home Bristol City 1:3
- 29.08.2026 away Charlton 0:1
- 22.08.2026 home Wolves 1:3
Lincoln City
19th place · 5 pts after 5Last 5 matches · latest first
- 05.09.2026 home Southampton 1:1
- 01.09.2026 home Blackburn 0:0
- 29.08.2026 away Bolton 1:0
- 22.08.2026 home Portsmouth 1:3
- 15.08.2026 away Middlesbrough 1:2
This season: Preston North End at home vs Lincoln City away
| Metric | Preston North End · at home | Lincoln City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 2 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–2 | 1–0–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.59 | 0.83 |
| xG against per match | 1.50 | 1.92 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners per match | 4.33 | 3.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
Head-to-head
No previous meetings found in the available data.
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Preston North End and Lincoln City meet in the Championship in a contest that looks evenly matched. The available assessment gives the hosts no clear superiority, with only a slight lean toward Preston North End avoiding defeat. Confidence is moderate, so the balance of the game could depend on small details rather than a pronounced difference between the teams.
The scoring outlook is medium, while both teams are considered likely to score. That points to a competitive match with opportunities at both ends, without suggesting an exceptionally open encounter. A 1:1 draw is one plausible scoreline, while 2:1 and 1:0 also reflect the narrow margin separating the sides. Preston North End may have a modest advantage from playing at home, but Lincoln City remain capable of making the contest difficult and contributing to the score.
What matters before kick-off
Mason Melia sidelined with injury
Lincoln City forward Mason Melia is set to miss between four and six weeks with a thigh injury ahead of the match against Preston North End.
Lincoln return to Championship action
Lincoln City return to EFL Championship action against Preston North End at Deepdale following their midweek Carabao Cup exit against Bournemouth.
Caleb Wiley interview ahead of Lincoln clash
Preston North End summer signing Caleb Wiley spoke ahead of the match against Lincoln City about returning from injury to score against Bristol City.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.