Match intelligence

West Bromwich Albion — Charlton Athletic: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026

League: Championship (England) · Kick-off:

Full time

Final result

× Prediction missed
West Bromwich Albion1
:
1Charlton Athletic
Locked signal W1 Probability 58.3% Verdict Miss
Mathematical model

Win probabilities

Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin

Odds updated
W1 58.3% Home win West Bromwich Albion
X 24.1% Draw
W2 17.6% Away win Charlton Athletic
Market matrix

Markets

Double chance
1X82.3%
Both teams to score
Yes54.7%
Totals 2.5
Over55.4%

All calculated markets

MarketSelectionProbability
Double chance1X82.3%
1275.5%
X242.2%
Both teams to scoreYes/No54.7% / 45.3%
Totals 0.5 Over/Under 93.2% / 6.8%
Totals 1.5 Over/Under 79.8% / 20.2%
Totals 2.5 Over/Under 55.4% / 44.6%
Totals 3.5 Over/Under 33.0% / 67.0%
Totals 4.5 Over/Under 16.8% / 83.2%
Totals 5.5 Over/Under 7.4% / 92.6%
Goal distribution model

Score probability heatmap

Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally

West Bromwich Albion × Charlton Athletic
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0 6.8%
0:1 4.2%
0:2 2.7%
0:3 0.9%
0:4 0.2%
0:5 0.0%
1
1:0 9.3%
1:1 11.7%
1:2 5.1%
1:3 1.7%
1:4 0.4%
1:5 0.1%
2
2:0 10.1%
2:1 9.9%
2:2 4.9%
2:3 1.6%
2:4 0.4%
2:5 0.1%
3
3:0 6.4%
3:1 6.3%
3:2 3.1%
3:3 1.0%
3:4 0.3%
3:5 0.0%
4
4:0 3.1%
4:1 3.0%
4:2 1.5%
4:3 0.5%
4:4 0.1%
4:5 0.0%
5
5:0 1.2%
5:1 1.2%
5:2 0.6%
5:3 0.2%
5:4 0.0%
5:5 0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.7%
2:010.1%
2:19.9%
1:09.3%
0:06.8%
Match data

Form and head-to-head

Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026

West Bromwich Albion

9th place · 6 pts after 3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 29.08.2026 away Middlesbrough 1:3
  • 23.08.2026 home Burnley 3:1
  • 15.08.2026 away Norwich 2:1
  • 02.05.2026 away Sheffield Weds 1:2
  • 25.04.2026 home Ipswich 0:0

Charlton Athletic

2nd place · 9 pts after 3

Last 5 matches · latest first

  • 29.08.2026 home Preston 1:0
  • 22.08.2026 away West Ham 2:1
  • 15.08.2026 home Derby 2:1
  • 02.05.2026 away Swansea 1:3
  • 25.04.2026 home Hull 2:1

This season: West Bromwich Albion at home vs Charlton Athletic away

Metric West Bromwich Albion · at home Charlton Athletic · away
Matches11
W–D–L1–0–01–0–0
Goals scored per match3.002.00
Goals conceded per match1.001.00
xG for per match1.630.62
xG against per match1.182.84
Shots on target per match7.005.00
Corners per match3.004.00
Over 2.5 goals100%100%
Both teams scored100%100%

Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings

West Bromwich Albion wins0
Draws3
Charlton Athletic wins1
Goals per match2.75
Both teams scored3/4
Over 2.5 goals2/4
  • 24.02.2026 West Bromwich Albion 1:1 Charlton Athletic
  • 04.11.2025 Charlton Athletic 1:0 West Bromwich Albion
  • 11.01.2020 Charlton Athletic 2:2 West Bromwich Albion
  • 26.10.2019 West Bromwich Albion 2:2 Charlton Athletic

Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.

✦
AI analysis

Match preview

Model · GPT 5.6 Luna

West Bromwich Albion have a slight edge over Charlton Athletic in this Championship fixture, although the low confidence indicates a closely balanced contest rather than a decisive advantage. The available assessment points towards a medium-scoring match, with the home side marginally better placed but no clear separation between the teams.

Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, leaving several plausible paths for the match. A 1-1 draw is among the likely scorelines, while 2-0 and 1-0 also reflect the possibility of West Bromwich Albion making their home advantage count. Charlton Athletic remain capable of keeping the game level, so the outcome may depend on which side handles the key moments more effectively.

Current context

What matters before kick-off

Updated
Schedule

Charlton Athletic's season start

Nathan Jones's Charlton Athletic side have won three from three to start their 2026/27 Championship campaign.

Schedule

West Bromwich Albion's previous match

West Bromwich Albion saw their strong start interrupted by a 3-1 defeat away to Middlesbrough over the weekend.

AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.

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How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.

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