West Bromwich Albion — Charlton Athletic: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 82.3% |
| 12 | 75.5% | |
| X2 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 54.7% / 45.3% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.2% / 6.8% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.8% / 20.2% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 55.4% / 44.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.0% / 67.0% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 16.8% / 83.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.4% / 92.6% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Match preview
West Bromwich Albion have a slight edge over Charlton Athletic in this Championship fixture, although the low confidence indicates a closely balanced contest rather than a decisive advantage. The available assessment points towards a medium-scoring match, with the home side marginally better placed but no clear separation between the teams.
Both teams scoring is considered a coin flip, leaving several plausible paths for the match. A 1-1 draw is among the likely scorelines, while 2-0 and 1-0 also reflect the possibility of West Bromwich Albion making their home advantage count. Charlton Athletic remain capable of keeping the game level, so the outcome may depend on which side handles the key moments more effectively.
What matters before kick-off
Charlton Athletic's season start
Nathan Jones's Charlton Athletic side have won three from three to start their 2026/27 Championship campaign.
West Bromwich Albion's previous match
West Bromwich Albion saw their strong start interrupted by a 3-1 defeat away to Middlesbrough over the weekend.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
Prediction questions
We remove the bookmaker margin from market odds, estimate each team’s expected goals and build one matrix of possible scores. Outcomes, totals, both teams to score and likely scores all come from that matrix.
Fair odds are one divided by the probability of the main signal. They are a mathematical reference without bookmaker margin, not an offer from a particular bookmaker.
The official prediction is locked before kick-off and is never rewritten after publication. After the final whistle it is checked against the result and added to the public record.
AI does not calculate or change probabilities. It explains the mathematical output in plain language, and the model used is shown next to the analysis.