Queens Park Rangers — Cardiff City: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 74.2% |
| 12 | 75.2% | |
| X2 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 65.8% / 34.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 95.1% / 4.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 86.0% / 14.0% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 64.8% / 35.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 42.8% / 57.2% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 24.5% / 75.5% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 12.2% / 87.8% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026
Queens Park Rangers
5th place · 7 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 22.08.2026 home Bolton 0:0
- 15.08.2026 away Portsmouth 3:1
- 02.05.2026 away Ipswich 0:3
- 25.04.2026 home Derby 2:3
Cardiff City
18th place · 3 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 home Sheffield United 2:2
- 22.08.2026 away Derby 2:2
- 17.08.2026 home Wrexham 1:1
- 02.05.2026 away Mansfield 4:5
- 25.04.2026 home Northampton 5:1
This season: Queens Park Rangers at home vs Cardiff City away
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers · at home | Cardiff City · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 0–1–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.81 | 1.98 |
| xG against per match | 0.19 | 1.62 |
| Shots on target per match | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| Corners per match | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
- 05.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers 0:0 Cardiff City
- 27.11.2024 Cardiff City 0:2 Queens Park Rangers
- 01.01.2024 Queens Park Rangers 1:2 Cardiff City
- 12.08.2023 Cardiff City 1:2 Queens Park Rangers
- 26.12.2022 Cardiff City 0:0 Queens Park Rangers
- 19.10.2022 Queens Park Rangers 3:0 Cardiff City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Queens Park Rangers have a slight but credible edge over Cardiff City in this Championship meeting. The assessment points towards the hosts avoiding defeat, with home advantage providing the main distinction between two sides that are otherwise expected to remain competitive. This is not a prediction of a straightforward game, but the available signal favours Queens Park Rangers in a close contest.
The match is projected to have an open attacking character, with both Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City likely to find the net. That combination makes a narrow home win and a draw the most plausible scenarios, rather than a low-event defensive encounter. Scorelines such as 1-1, 2-1, and 2-0 reflect the balance between Queens Park Rangers holding the stronger position and Cardiff City retaining enough attacking threat to influence the game.
What matters before kick-off
Unbeaten start for both clubs
Queens Park Rangers and Cardiff City enter their Championship fixture on September 2, 2026, both unbeaten in the league this season. QPR have taken seven points from three matches, while Cardiff City have drawn all three of their opening league games.
Squad availability updates
For QPR, left-back Boy Kemper remains sidelined with an injury. Cardiff City face uncertainty over Krystian Bielik after he was forced off injured during his debut in their previous match.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.