Millwall FC — Wrexham AFC: Win probabilities, 02.09.2026
Final result
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
Markets
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 71.7% |
| 12 | 70.8% | |
| X2 | 57.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 91.4% / 8.6% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 76.9% / 23.1% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 28.4% / 71.6% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 13.6% / 86.4% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 5.6% / 94.4% |
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 02.09.2026
Millwall FC
8th place · 6 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 29.08.2026 away Southampton 1:5
- 22.08.2026 home Norwich 3:0
- 15.08.2026 away Bristol City 2:0
- 02.05.2026 home Oxford 2:0
- 24.04.2026 away Leicester 1:1
Wrexham AFC
22nd place · 2 pts after 3Last 5 matches · latest first
- 28.08.2026 home Birmingham 1:2
- 22.08.2026 home Watford 1:1
- 17.08.2026 away Cardiff 1:1
- 02.05.2026 home Middlesbrough 2:2
- 26.04.2026 away Coventry 1:3
This season: Millwall FC at home vs Wrexham AFC away
| Metric | Millwall FC · at home | Wrexham AFC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| W–D–L | 1–0–0 | 0–1–0 |
| Goals scored per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 2.70 | 1.55 |
| xG against per match | 1.02 | 0.90 |
| Shots on target per match | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| Corners per match | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
Head-to-head · Last 2 meetings
- 07.02.2026 Wrexham AFC 0:2 Millwall FC
- 30.08.2025 Millwall FC 0:2 Wrexham AFC
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
Match preview
Millwall FC have a slight edge over Wrexham AFC in this Championship meeting, although the moderate confidence points to a closely balanced contest rather than a decisive mismatch. The available assessment supports a medium-scoring game, with the home side marginally better placed to take control.
The scoring outlook remains uncertain: both teams scoring is effectively a coin flip, and the range of likely scores includes 1:1, 2:1 and 0:0. That suggests the match could develop into an even exchange or be decided by a narrow margin. Overall, Millwall FC appear slightly stronger, but Wrexham AFC have a realistic chance of avoiding defeat.
What matters before kick-off
Millwall and Wrexham look to bounce back from recent defeats
Millwall host Wrexham at The Den in the Championship on September 2, 2026. Both sides enter the fixture seeking a reaction to recent league losses, with Millwall falling 5-1 to Southampton and Wrexham losing 2-1 to Birmingham City.
New Wrexham signing Joe Worrall available for selection
Defender Joe Worrall, who joined Wrexham from Burnley ahead of the deadline, was registered in time to be eligible for the match against Millwall.
Ryan Longman faces former club
Wrexham's Ryan Longman previously spent a season with Millwall, scoring three goals in 35 appearances for the Lions.
AI collected this context from public sources; it does not change the mathematical probabilities.
Other matches
How the probabilities are calculated, what fair odds mean and how accuracy is verified — see the method.