West Bromwich Albion — Blackburn Rovers: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
55.0%
Home win
West Bromwich Albion
X
24.7%
Draw
W2
20.2%
Away win
Blackburn Rovers
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X79.8%
Both teams to score
Yes53.4%
Totals 2.5
Over52.8%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 79.8% |
| 12 | 75.3% | |
| X2 | 45.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.1% / 6.9% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.5% / 22.5% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.8% / 47.2% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.5% / 69.5% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 15.0% / 85.0% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.4% / 93.6% |
Goal distribution model
West Bromwich Albion × Blackburn Rovers
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.9%
0:1
5.4%
0:2
3.1%
0:3
1.0%
0:4
0.3%
0:5
0.1%
1
1:0
10.2%
1:1
11.8%
1:2
5.5%
1:3
1.8%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.8%
2:1
9.8%
2:2
4.9%
2:3
1.6%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
5.8%
3:1
5.9%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.0%
3:4
0.2%
3:5
0.0%
4
4:0
2.6%
4:1
2.6%
4:2
1.3%
4:3
0.4%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.9%
5:1
0.9%
5:2
0.5%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.8%
1:010.2%
2:19.8%
2:09.8%
0:06.9%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
West Bromwich Albion
6th place · 14 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 away Wolves 0:1
- 12.09.2026 home QPR 1:1
- 09.09.2026 away Derby 1:0
- 05.09.2026 home Watford 1:0
- 02.09.2026 home Charlton 1:1
Blackburn Rovers
16th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Portsmouth 2:2
- 12.09.2026 home Millwall 3:1
- 08.09.2026 home Sheffield United 1:2
- 05.09.2026 away Preston 1:2
- 01.09.2026 away Lincoln 0:0
This season: West Bromwich Albion at home vs Blackburn Rovers away
| Metric | West Bromwich Albion · at home | Blackburn Rovers · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–2–0 | 0–3–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| xG for per match | 1.14 | 0.69 |
| xG against per match | 0.87 | 1.81 |
| Shots on target per match | 4.75 | 4.25 |
| Corners per match | 5.25 | 7.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
West Bromwich Albion wins2
Draws2
Blackburn Rovers wins2
Goals per match1.83
Both teams scored2/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 06.04.2026 Blackburn Rovers 0:0 West Bromwich Albion
- 09.08.2025 West Bromwich Albion 1:0 Blackburn Rovers
- 12.02.2025 West Bromwich Albion 0:2 Blackburn Rovers
- 23.10.2024 Blackburn Rovers 0:0 West Bromwich Albion
- 13.01.2024 West Bromwich Albion 4:1 Blackburn Rovers
- 05.08.2023 Blackburn Rovers 2:1 West Bromwich Albion
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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