Bristol City — Sheffield United: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
42.0%
Home win
Bristol City
X
27.0%
Draw
W2
30.9%
Away win
Sheffield United
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1273.0%
Both teams to score
Yes56.8%
Totals 2.5
Over52.4%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 69.1% |
| 12 | 73.0% | |
| X2 | 58.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 56.8% / 43.2% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 92.8% / 7.2% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 77.3% / 22.7% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 30.2% / 69.8% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 14.8% / 85.2% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 6.3% / 93.7% |
Goal distribution model
Bristol City × Sheffield United
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
7.2%
0:1
7.0%
0:2
5.0%
0:3
2.1%
0:4
0.7%
0:5
0.2%
1
1:0
8.5%
1:1
12.8%
1:2
7.5%
1:3
3.2%
1:4
1.0%
1:5
0.3%
2
2:0
7.1%
2:1
9.0%
2:2
5.7%
2:3
2.4%
2:4
0.8%
2:5
0.2%
3
3:0
3.6%
3:1
4.5%
3:2
2.9%
3:3
1.2%
3:4
0.4%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
1.3%
4:1
1.7%
4:2
1.1%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
0.4%
5:1
0.5%
5:2
0.3%
5:3
0.1%
5:4
0.0%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:112.8%
2:19.0%
1:08.5%
1:27.5%
0:07.2%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
Bristol City
9th place · 13 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 18.09.2026 home Watford 1:0
- 15.09.2026 home Lincoln 0:1
- 12.09.2026 away Southampton 1:4
- 05.09.2026 away Burnley 2:1
- 01.09.2026 away Preston 3:1
Sheffield United
18th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 away Stoke 1:2
- 13.09.2026 home Wolves 0:1
- 08.09.2026 away Blackburn 2:1
- 05.09.2026 home Norwich 1:3
- 01.09.2026 home Bolton 3:2
This season: Bristol City at home vs Sheffield United away
| Metric | Bristol City · at home | Sheffield United · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–2 | 1–2–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| xG for per match | 1.06 | 1.03 |
| xG against per match | 1.46 | 1.14 |
| Shots on target per match | 3.50 | 3.25 |
| Corners per match | 6.00 | 2.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 75% |
Head-to-head · Last 6 meetings
Bristol City wins2
Draws1
Sheffield United wins3
Goals per match2.17
Both teams scored3/6
Over 2.5 goals2/6
- 06.04.2026 Bristol City 1:0 Sheffield United
- 09.08.2025 Sheffield United 1:4 Bristol City
- 11.03.2025 Sheffield United 1:1 Bristol City
- 05.11.2024 Bristol City 1:2 Sheffield United
- 18.04.2023 Sheffield United 1:0 Bristol City
- 01.11.2022 Bristol City 0:1 Sheffield United
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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