Norwich City — Portsmouth FC: Win probabilities, 17.10.2026
Mathematical model
Odds updated
Win probabilities
Outcome probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin
W1
57.6%
Home win
Norwich City
X
23.5%
Draw
W2
18.9%
Away win
Portsmouth FC
Market matrix
Markets
Double chance
1X81.1%
Both teams to score
Yes55.0%
Totals 2.5
Over56.0%
All calculated markets
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1X | 81.1% |
| 12 | 76.5% | |
| X2 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes/No | 55.0% / 45.0% |
| Totals 0.5 | Over/Under | 93.9% / 6.1% |
| Totals 1.5 | Over/Under | 79.7% / 20.3% |
| Totals 2.5 | Over/Under | 56.0% / 44.0% |
| Totals 3.5 | Over/Under | 33.6% / 66.4% |
| Totals 4.5 | Over/Under | 17.2% / 82.8% |
| Totals 5.5 | Over/Under | 7.7% / 92.3% |
Goal distribution model
Norwich City × Portsmouth FC
Score probability heatmap
Home goals run vertically; away goals run horizontally
Home↘Away
0
1
2
3
4
5
0
0:0
6.1%
0:1
4.7%
0:2
2.8%
0:3
0.9%
0:4
0.2%
0:5
0.0%
1
1:0
9.5%
1:1
11.1%
1:2
5.3%
1:3
1.8%
1:4
0.5%
1:5
0.1%
2
2:0
9.8%
2:1
9.9%
2:2
5.0%
2:3
1.7%
2:4
0.4%
2:5
0.1%
3
3:0
6.2%
3:1
6.3%
3:2
3.2%
3:3
1.1%
3:4
0.3%
3:5
0.1%
4
4:0
3.0%
4:1
3.0%
4:2
1.5%
4:3
0.5%
4:4
0.1%
4:5
0.0%
5
5:0
1.1%
5:1
1.2%
5:2
0.6%
5:3
0.2%
5:4
0.1%
5:5
0.0%
Most likely scores
1:111.1%
2:19.9%
2:09.8%
1:09.5%
3:16.3%
Match data
Form and head-to-head
Results before kick-off on 17.10.2026
Norwich City
17th place · 9 pts after 8Last 5 matches · latest first
- 20.09.2026 home Bolton 3:4
- 12.09.2026 away Middlesbrough 3:4
- 09.09.2026 home Birmingham 2:1
- 05.09.2026 away Sheffield United 3:1
- 01.09.2026 away Stoke 0:1
Portsmouth FC
19th place · 8 pts after 7Last 5 matches · latest first
- 19.09.2026 home Blackburn 2:2
- 12.09.2026 away Charlton 0:0
- 05.09.2026 home Cardiff 2:0
- 01.09.2026 home Derby 0:2
- 29.08.2026 away Bristol City 1:2
This season: Norwich City at home vs Portsmouth FC away
| Metric | Norwich City · at home | Portsmouth FC · away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| W–D–L | 2–0–2 | 1–1–1 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.50 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| xG for per match | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| xG against per match | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Shots on target per match | 5.75 | 3.67 |
| Corners per match | 5.25 | 6.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 67% |
Head-to-head · Last 4 meetings
Norwich City wins1
Draws2
Portsmouth FC wins1
Goals per match3.25
Both teams scored3/4
Over 2.5 goals2/4
- 03.04.2026 Norwich City 1:1 Portsmouth FC
- 16.08.2025 Portsmouth FC 1:2 Norwich City
- 18.04.2025 Norwich City 3:5 Portsmouth FC
- 10.12.2024 Portsmouth FC 0:0 Norwich City
Sources: football-data.co.uk. The league table is calculated from results and does not include point deductions.
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